首页> 外文学位 >Modeling vulnerability of residential buildings to multiple hazards.
【24h】

Modeling vulnerability of residential buildings to multiple hazards.

机译:建模住宅建筑物对多种危害的脆弱性。

获取原文
获取原文并翻译 | 示例

摘要

The majority of Florida's 19 million residents live at or near a hurricane- or tornado-prone area, and their homes are very susceptible to these extreme wind climatology. Nevertheless, homeowners have very little or no information on the risk of their houses until hurricanes or tornadoes come through. In order to provide public demonstration of a community's vulnerability to these hazards, reliable and robust damage and loss projection models are needed. Further, insurance companies also require a means of assessing hurricane and tornado risk and generating loss estimates that can be used within the actuarial rate-setting process. It is also apparent that public policy officials require methods to predict the potential economic loss from natural hazards in order to aid in identifying high-risk region, implementing necessary damage mitigation measures and preparing their populations and response for future natural hazard events. This research develops new approaches to assess the vulnerability of residential buildings to hurricanes and tornadoes.;Coastal constructions often sustain damage from both wind and surge during hurricane landfalls, and while it is known these forces can affect residential construction, less is known about the interaction of wind forces and storm surge events. Current models do not provide methods for predicting the damage from the joint probability of a wind and water event. The Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model (FPHLM) sponsored by the Florida Office of Insurance Regulation already includes existing modules to predict wind damage and as part of a project to enhance the features of that model, this research was conducted to develop an engineering-based storm surge and inland flooding vulnerability component to its existing wind-only model.;To achieve this goal, this study develops vulnerability functions of three types of residential buildings under four hydraulic conditions: inland flooding, storm surge with minor waves, moderate waves and severe waves. The study's subject houses include slab on grade personal residences, elevated structures and manufactured homes. For personal residences, fragility curves are developed using a semi-engineering methodology and a translation method is employed to convert them into vulnerability functions. Additionally, the vulnerability curves of manufacture houses and structures elevated on piles are generated with a combination of previous claimed data, engineering judgement and the forgoing semi-engineering approach. The set of vulnerability curves generated in this study could be directly combined with the FPHLM wind model for the estimation of economic losses from hurricanes.;An engineering-based tornado damage assessment (ETDA) framework for a typical light-frame wood residential structure is presented in Chapter 4. It includes a translating tornado vortex model, an analytical tornado-induced load calculation approach, a probabilistic methodology for wind-borne debris impact, and a time-variant internal pressure model. The framework enables users to determine structural damage to a building through successive time steps as a tornado translates past the building. The ETDA model is illustrated using four houses damaged in the 2011 Joplin, MO tornado. The damage to the four houses predicted by the ETDA model agree well with the observed damages obtained from a ground survey, with overall damage ratios differing by 15%. To further examine its rationality, the ETDA framework are applied to a portfolio of single-family residential dwellings (778 homes) damaged in the 2011 Joplin, MO tornado. The degree of damage (DOD) of each house is estimated matching the outputs of the ETDA model to the revised descriptions in the Enhanced Fijta scale and compared against those based upon the observations in a damage survey. The comparison shows reasonably good agreement and 78% of the homes show no more than +/-2 DOD rating differences.
机译:佛罗里达州1900万居民中的大多数生活在飓风或龙卷风易发地区或附近,而他们的房屋极易受到这些极端风气候的影响。然而,在飓风或龙卷风袭来之前,房主很少或根本没有房屋风险的信息。为了向公众展示社区对这些危害的脆弱性,需要可靠而健壮的破坏和损失预测模型。此外,保险公司还需要一种评估飓风和龙卷风风险并生成可在精算利率设定过程中使用的损失估计的方法。显然,公共政策官员还需要一些方法来预测自然灾害带来的潜在经济损失,以帮助识别高风险地区,实施必要的减灾措施并为未来的自然灾害事件做好准备并应对其人口。这项研究开发了评估住宅建筑对飓风和龙卷风的脆弱性的新方法;沿海建筑在飓风登陆期间经常遭受风和浪涌的破坏,虽然已知这些力会影响住宅建筑,但人们对相互作用的了解却很少和风暴潮事件的发生。当前的模型没有提供根据风和水事件的联合概率来预测损害的方法。由佛罗里达州保险监管办公室赞助的佛罗里达州公共飓风损失模型(FPHLM)已经包含了预测风害的现有模块,并且作为增强该模型特征的项目的一部分,进行了这项研究以开发基于工程的风暴为实现这一目标,本研究开发了四种水力条件下三种类型的住宅建筑物的脆弱性功能:内陆洪水,小浪,中浪和强浪的风暴潮。该研究的主题房屋包括台阶上的个人住宅,高架结构和人造房屋。对于个人住宅,使用半工程方法来绘制脆弱性曲线,并采用转换方法将其转换为脆弱性函数。此外,结合先前要求保护的数据,工程判断和前述的半工程方法,可以生成在桩上抬高的制造房屋和结构的易损性曲线。可以将本研究中生成的易损性曲线集与FPHLM风模型直接组合,以估算飓风造成的经济损失。提出了基于工程的龙卷风破坏评估(ETDA)框架,用于典型的轻型木结构住宅结构在第4章中,它包括一个平移的龙卷风涡模型,一种分析性的龙卷风引起的载荷计算方法,一种风传播的碎屑撞击的概率方法以及一个时变的内部压力模型。当龙卷风平移经过建筑物时,该框架使用户能够通过连续的时间步长确定建筑物的结构损坏。 ETDA模型使用在密苏里州乔普林2011年龙卷风中受损的四栋房屋进行了说明。 ETDA模型预测的对四栋房屋的破坏与从地面调查中观察到的破坏非常吻合,整体破坏比率相差15%。为了进一步检验其合理性,将ETDA框架应用于2011年在密苏里州乔普林龙卷风中遭到破坏的单户住宅住房(778栋房屋)。估计每个房屋的损坏程度(DOD),使其与ETDA模型的输出与增强的Fijta量表的修订说明相匹配,并与基于损坏调查中的观察结果进行比较。比较显示出良好的一致性,并且78%的房屋显示出不超过+/- 2 DOD等级差异。

著录项

  • 作者

    Peng, Xinlai.;

  • 作者单位

    University of Florida.;

  • 授予单位 University of Florida.;
  • 学科 Civil engineering.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2015
  • 页码 201 p.
  • 总页数 201
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号