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REGULATION-INDUCED CAPITAL BIAS IN THE U.S. ELECTRIC UTILITY INDUSTRY, 1964-1977.

机译:1964-1977年,美国电力工业中因规制引起的资本偏向。

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摘要

The primary purpose of this dissertation is to formulate and perform an econometric test for the existence of an Averch-Johnson type of capital bias in the U.S. electric utility industry. The Averch-Johnson hypothesis, which states that firms subject to rate-of-return regulation will produce their output with more capital than if they were unregulated, has always been of uncertain empirical significance.;The data employed is a time-series of cross-sections of thirty-five electric utility firms between 1964 and 1977. By partitioning the data into two smaller pools, 1964-73 and 1974-77, it becomes possible to test for an Averch-Johnson effect before and after the Arab oil embargo which occurred late in 1973. The theory of the regulated firm predicts that when input prices increase (e.g. due to an embargo) relative to the allowed rate of return, the firm will be less prone to capital bias. Therefore, this thesis not only tests for an Averch-Johnson effect in general, it also tests whether the theory is correct in predicting a stronger capital bias during an era of more stable input prices.;The results indicate that the theory makes predictions which can be confirmed for thirty-five electric power firms in the United States. While an Averch-Johnson effect is detected for the years 1964-73, none is found to exist between 1974 and 1977. These findings represent the only available evidence on this issue for the decade of the 1970's.;The particular econometric test is one that estimates the parameters of an equation which expresses the firms' ratio of capital expenditure of total revenue as a function of several variables including the allowed rate of return. According to the theory of the regulated firm, if the estimated parameter of the rate of return variable lies between zero and one, the Averch-Johnson effect is confirmed; otherwise it is rejected.
机译:本文的主要目的是为美国电力行业中存在Averch-Johnson类型的资本偏差制定并进行计量经济学检验。 Averch-Johnson假设指出,受回报率监管的公司将比不受监管的公司生产更多的资本,这一直具有不确定的经验意义。;所使用的数据是交叉的时间序列在1964年至1977年期间对35家电力公司进行了剖析。通过将数据划分为两个较小的池(1964-73年和1974-77年),可以测试阿拉伯石油禁运前后的Averch-Johnson效应。这发生在1973年末。受监管公司的理论预测,当投入价格相对于允许的收益率上升(例如,由于禁运)时,公司将不太容易出现资本偏差。因此,本文不仅检验了Averch-Johnson效应,而且检验了该理论在投入物价格更稳定的时代预测更强的资本偏差方面是否正确。在美国有35家电力公司得到确认。尽管在1964-73年期间检测到Averch-Johnson效应,但在1974年至1977年之间没有发现这种现象。这些发现代表了1970年代十年间有关此问题的唯一可用证据。估计方程的参数,该方程将企业资本支出占总收入的比率表示为包括允许的回报率在内的多个变量的函数。根据被控企业的理论,如果收益率变量的估计参数在零和一之间,则可以确认阿弗奇-约翰逊效应;否则将被拒绝。

著录项

  • 作者

    GIORDANO, JAMES NICHOLAS.;

  • 作者单位

    Indiana University.;

  • 授予单位 Indiana University.;
  • 学科 Commerce-Business.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 1982
  • 页码 120 p.
  • 总页数 120
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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