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Domestic and foreign wine demand in major wine producing and consuming nations.

机译:主要葡萄酒生产国和消费国对国内外葡萄酒的需求。

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摘要

International trade of wine has grown in terms of both volume and value during the last two decades. Countries which are the largest producers, consumers, and exporters of wine have faced a declining domestic demand since the 1970s. Inventory accumulations and/or unharvested areas of grapes have occurred in Western Europe and North America, the larger production areas. Therefore these producers have expanded their marketing efforts, focusing on the international market.;The objective was to develop an econometric model of the international demand for wine. Demand relationships for domestic and import wine were specified and estimated for the major countries involved in the international wine market. Eleven countries were modeled using 1963 to 1986 time series data: Australia, Belgium, Canada, France, Italy, Japan, Portugal, Spain, United Kingdom, United States, and West Germany.;The econometric model was a simultaneous system of sixty-two per capita wine demand equations representing domestically produced wine and imported wine from among each of the other ten nations. Wine was treated as a homogeneous product, and nonalcoholic beverages, malt beverages, and distilled spirits were considered substitute beverages.;In the domestic demand equations, own-price elasticities were mainly in the inelastic region. This suggests that the consumption of domestically produced wine is not sensitive to price changes. Most cross elasticities in the domestic demand equations suggested a weak substitution relationship between other beverages and domestic wine.;The implications, in terms of competition among wines from various sources, can be evaluated via the elasticities. High cross elasticities suggest a greater degree of consumer sensitivity to prices of competitive wines. The import wine demand's cross price elasticity with domestically produced wine indicates a degree of competitiveness exists for most countries. Positive income elasticities were found for Canada, Italy, Japan, Portugal, and the United States; negative income elasticities were found for the United Kingdom, Spain, and Australia. France and Belgium had import demand equations with positive elasticities and other equations with negative income elasticities.
机译:在过去的二十年中,葡萄酒的国际贸易无论从数量还是在价值上都在增长。自1970年代以来,最大的葡萄酒生产国,消费者和出口国都面临着国内需求的下降。西欧和北美较大的产区已经出现了葡萄的库存积累和/或未收获的地区。因此,这些生产商扩大了营销力度,把重点放在了国际市场上。目标是建立一个国际上对葡萄酒需求的计量模型。针对参与国际葡萄酒市场的主要国家,确定并估计了国内和进口葡萄酒的需求关系。使用1963年至1986年的时间序列数据对11个国家/地区进行了建模:澳大利亚,比利时,加拿大,法国,意大利,日本,葡萄牙,西班牙,英国,美国和西德;计量经济模型是62个同时系统人均葡萄酒需求方程式代表了其他十个国家中的国产葡萄酒和进口葡萄酒。葡萄酒被视为同质产品,非酒精饮料,麦芽饮料和蒸馏酒被视为替代饮料。在国内需求方程中,自身价格弹性主要位于无弹性的地区。这表明国产葡萄酒的消费对价格变化不敏感。内需方程中的大多数交叉弹性表明,其他饮料和国产葡萄酒之间的替代关系较弱。通过各种弹性,可以评估来自各种来源的葡萄酒之间竞争的影响。较高的交叉弹性表明,消费者对竞争性葡萄酒的价格更加敏感。进口葡萄酒需求与国产葡萄酒的交叉价格弹性表明,大多数国家都存在一定程度的竞争力。发现加拿大,意大利,日本,葡萄牙和美国的收入弹性为正。英国,西班牙和澳大利亚的收入弹性为负。法国和比利时的进口需求方程具有正的弹性,其他方程具有负的收入弹性。

著录项

  • 作者

    Levi, Annette Ellery.;

  • 作者单位

    Washington State University.;

  • 授予单位 Washington State University.;
  • 学科 Agricultural economics.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 1990
  • 页码 143 p.
  • 总页数 143
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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