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Essays in international risk-sharing and asymmetric information.

机译:国际风险分担和信息不对称方面的论文。

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摘要

This thesis consists of a collection of three essays whose prevailing themes are issues of risk-sharing and asymmetric information.;In Chapter 2, a two country noisy rational expectations economy with endogenous, costly, country-specific information acquisition is constructed. Within this context, the phenomena of home bias in equity investment as well as the higher transaction rates of the domestic agents' foreign asset holdings arise optimally. Informational heterogeneity is the driving force behind both of these empirically recorded phenomena. The model is calibrated and the magnitudes of the variables of interest is compared to their empirical counterparts. It is demonstrated that asymmetry in information can explain approximately 40% of the observed home bias. The model can also generate a maximum foreign to domestic equity turnover rate ratio equal to 1.625. It is also shown that improvements in information quality and decreases in the correlation coefficient of the asset returns can intensify the phenomenon of non-diversification.;The purpose of Chapter 3 is to identify between the information and noisy contents of stock trading volume and to measure the impact of these two components on asset prices. The econometric procedure applied is a structural VAR in standing quotes, transaction prices and trades. Three structural shocks are captured: private information, noise and public trade-unrelated information. The main identifying assumption is that noise has no long-run effects on asset demands. Based mainly on this restriction the contributions of the above-mentioned shocks to quote and asset demand variability can be measured. It is found that, given the employed identification scheme, around 60% of the long-run quote variability is caused by private information arrivals. The contributions of noise trading and public non-trade information are 14% and 26% respectively. The contribution of noise trading on quotes is substantial given the fact that only a small portion of trading volume variability (1.6%) is explained by irrational trading.;Chapter 4 tests the implications of the complete markets International Real Business Cycle (IRBC) model for the group of the G7 countries' consumption series for the period 1960-1994. More specifically this paper tests for the existence of risk-sharing arrangements by implementing the Johansen's Maximum Likelihood method for detection of cointegration. Its focus lies in detecting increases in the degree of international consumption risk-sharing through time and on the contribution of real exchange rate movements in the attainment of risk-sharing. The main findings of this paper can be summarized as follows: The strict implications of the complete market IRBC model are rejected but the present investigation does find clear evidence of increased international economic integration for the recent years. It is also found that when real exchange rates are incorporated the evidence in favor of consumption risk-sharing becomes considerably stronger, especially for the post Bretton-Woods era. It is also shown that a consequence of this risk-sharing mechanism is that real exchange rates form strong equilibrium relationships with the corresponding consumption series to which they tend to revert in the long-run.
机译:本论文包括三篇论文的集合,其主要主题是风险共担和信息不对称的问题。;在第二章中,构建了具有内生的,昂贵的,针对特定国家的信息获取的两国嘈杂的理性预期经济。在这种情况下,最佳地出现了股权投资中的本国偏见现象以及国内代理商持有的外国资产的较高交易率。信息异质性是这两个经验记录现象背后的驱动力。对该模型进行校准,并将感兴趣的变量的大小与经验变量进行比较。事实证明,信息不对称可以解释大约40%的观察到的本底偏差。该模型还可以生成等于1.625的最大外资对国内股权周转率比率。研究还表明,信息质量的提高和资产收益率的相关系数的降低会加剧不分散现象。第三章的目的是识别信息和股票交易量的嘈杂内容并进行衡量这两个组成部分对资产价格的影响。所采用的计量经济学程序是常设报价,交易价格和交易的结构性VAR。捕获了三个结构性冲击:私人信息,噪音和与公共贸易无关的信息。主要的确定性假设是,噪声对资产需求没有长期影响。主要基于此限制,可以测量上述冲击对报价和资产需求可变性的贡献。可以发现,在采用所采用的识别方案的情况下,长期报价差异的大约60%是由私人信息的到达引起的。噪声交易和公共非交易信息的贡献分别为14%和26%。鉴于只有一小部分交易量波动(1.6%)可以通过非理性交易来解释,因此噪声交易对报价的贡献是巨大的。第4章测试了完整市场国际真实商业周期(IRBC)模型对1960-1994年七国集团(G7)国家的消费系列更具体地说,本文通过实施约翰逊最大似然法检测协整来测试风险共担安排的存在。其重点在于发现随着时间的推移国际消费风险分担程度的增加以及实际汇率变动对实现风险分担的贡献。本文的主要发现可以归纳如下:完全市场IRBC模型的严格含义被拒绝,但本次调查确实找到了近年来国际经济一体化加剧的明确证据。还发现,如果将实际汇率纳入考虑范围,则有利于消费风险分担的证据就变得更加强大,特别是在布雷顿森林时代之后。还表明,这种风险分担机制的结果是,实际汇率与相应的消费序列形成了很强的均衡关系,从长期来看,它们倾向于恢复为这种关系。

著录项

  • 作者

    Patikis, Vassilios G.;

  • 作者单位

    University of Rochester.;

  • 授予单位 University of Rochester.;
  • 学科 Economics.;Finance.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 1996
  • 页码 134 p.
  • 总页数 134
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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