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The specification of the demand for money: Financial innovation and the choice of the appropriate scale variable.

机译:货币需求的规范:金融创新和适当规模变量的选择。

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摘要

This paper explores the role of financial innovation in the demand for money and which of eight scale variables is appropriate for the demand for money. The empirical results of this paper suggest that financial innovation is very important in determining the demand for money. The results also indicate that a good general proxy for financial innovation is either a stochastic trend or a combination of a stochastic trend and a deterministic trend, rather than a deterministic trend alone. The estimated path of financial innovation also shows that inclusion of a deterministic trend makes the path more fluctuant and the range of the time-varying intercept smaller.;The results for the in-sample performance show that private spending in M1 and final sales in M2 produce the smallest standard error of the estimate in all three specifications. According to the value for the consumption weight, consumer expenditure generates more money demand than GNP, GDP, disposable income, domestic absorption, and final sales. The new scale variable which is a weighted average of consumer spending on durables, nondurables, and services, is a better scale variable than consumer expenditure. The result implies that consumer spending on durables generates more money demand than consumer spending on nondurables and services. Therefore, it can be concluded that consumption is a better scale variable than income.
机译:本文探讨了金融创新在货币需求中的作用,以及八个规模变量中哪个适合货币需求。本文的实证结果表明,金融创新对于确定货币需求非常重要。结果还表明,金融创新的良好通用代理要么是随机趋势,要么是随机趋势和确定性趋势的组合,而不仅仅是确定性趋势。估计的金融创新路径还表明,确定性趋势的包含使路径更易波动,时变截距的范围更小;样本内绩效的结果表明,M1的私人支出和M2的最终销售额在所有三个规格中产生最小的估计标准误差。根据消费权重的价值,消费支出产生的货币需求比国民生产总值,国内生产总值,可支配收入,国内吸收和最终销售要多。新的比例变量是耐用消费品,非耐用品和服务上消费者支出的加权平均值,是比消费者支出更好的比例变量。结果表明,与非耐用品和服务相比,耐用品的消费者支出产生的货币需求更多。因此,可以得出结论,消费是比收入更好的规模变量。

著录项

  • 作者

    Sung, Yun Mo.;

  • 作者单位

    University of Missouri - Columbia.;

  • 授予单位 University of Missouri - Columbia.;
  • 学科 Finance.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 1998
  • 页码 187 p.
  • 总页数 187
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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