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Variance reduction for stochastic differential equations applied to bond pricing problems.

机译:随机微分方程的方差减少适用于债券定价问题。

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摘要

This thesis presents results of applying a variance reduction technique during the numerical solution of stochastic differential equations by Monte Carlo simulation. The problems of application are from the field of mathematical finance, specifically investigating both single-factor and multi-factor models of the short rate of interest and solving for the term structure of interest rates. The term structure is a weak solution of the short rate stochastic differential equation. The variance reduction method employed is due to Milstein and involves a change of measure for the original short rate equation. To substantially reduce the variance of the functional, the measure transformation method requires that a "good" guess of the solution to the corresponding partial differential equation for the weak solution be able to be made at every point along a simulated interest rate path.; The analysis of the variance reduction method applied to these term structure problems addresses three critical issues: the difference between the theoretical rate of convergence of a scheme and its actual rate of convergence calculated by regression analysis; the number of significant digits obtainable in the bond price after variance reduction assuming a minimum of paths is desirable to lower the execution time; and how "good" of a guess do you actually need to the true solution to impact the variance.
机译:本文提出了在蒙特卡罗模拟的随机微分方程数值解中应用方差减少技术的结果。应用的问题来自数学金融领域,特别是研究短期利率的单因素和多因素模型并解决利率期限结构。项结构是短期利率随机微分方程的弱解。所采用的方差减少方法归因于米尔斯坦(Milstein),涉及原始短利率方程式的度量更改。为了大大减少函数的方差,量度转换方法要求能够在模拟利率路径的每个点上对弱解的相应偏微分方程的解进行“良好”的猜测。对应用于这些期限结构问题的方差减少方法的分析解决了三个关键问题:方案的理论收敛速度与通过回归分析计算的实际收敛速度之间的差异;假设方差最小,则减少方差减少后的债券价格中可得到的有效位数,这将减少执行时间;以及您实际需要的“猜测”有多好,才能真正影响到差异。

著录项

  • 作者

    Fisher, Mary Beth.;

  • 作者单位

    Duke University.;

  • 授予单位 Duke University.;
  • 学科 Mathematics.; Economics Finance.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 1998
  • 页码 65 p.
  • 总页数 65
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 数学;财政、金融;
  • 关键词

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