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The role of regulation and productive government spending in dynamic macroeconomic models.

机译:监管和生产性政府支出在动态宏观经济模型中的作用。

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The three chapters of my dissertation study how fiscal policy affects the dynamic behavior of the Macro-economy when educational and environmental market failures are present.; In the first paper I show endogenous human capital accumulation fostered by education investment can greatly reduce the fiscal burden of the United States public pension system. I also conclude the increased human capital for the small baby bust cohort, along with beneficial factor price movements, will increase their lifetime consumption relative to trend forecasts. This result is in contrast to the standard predictions of lower lifetime consumption due to the increased social security fiscal burden.; The second chapter of my dissertation studies the long run implications of the government's education investment strategy. I show the failure of government to provide a productive human capital accumulation environment leads to the decline of per capita consumption and/or stagnation. On the other hand, I show positive changes in the education environment will lead to high growth and positive movements in the world income distribution. The ability of the model to predict these growth miracles and disasters is demonstrated using an ordered logit estimation technique and predicting transitions within the World income distribution before they actually occur. The out-of-sample transition predictions are based on a country's specific educational and political environment.; My final chapter looks at the short run and long run dynamic behavior of environmental regulation on firm level abatement R&D and pollution. I show a company's current unregulated abatement R&D efforts may not be the result of “environmentally friendly” policies, but due to expectations about future regulation. I conclude regulation, now or in the future, is required to induce companies to undertake pollution abatement and abatement R&D. I provide evidence the Kyoto Protocol is perceived as binding when companies are deciding on current pollution abatement strategies. I also show, through the appropriate use of fiscal policy, the government can achieve a policy of sustainable development when abatement R&D is present
机译:本文的三章研究了当教育和环境市场失灵时,财政政策如何影响宏观经济的动态行为。在第一篇论文中,我显示了教育投资促进的内生人力资本积累可以大大减轻美国公共养老金体系的财政负担。我还得出结论,相对于趋势预测,小型婴儿胸围队列的人力资本增加,以及有利因素价格的变动,将增加其一生的消费量。该结果与社会保障财政负担增加导致的终身消费降低的标准预测相反。本文的第二章研究了政府的教育投资战略的长期意义。我表明政府未能提供生产性的人力资本积累环境会导致人均消费和/或停滞状态的下降。另一方面,我表明教育环境的积极变化将导致世界收入分配的高增长和积极变化。使用有序logit估计技术并预测世界收入分配在实际发生之前的转变,证明了模型预测这些增长奇迹和灾难的能力。样本外过渡预测基于一个国家的特定教育和政治环境。我的最后一章探讨了在企业层面减少研发和污染方面环境监管的短期和长期动态行为。我表明,公司当前未规范的减排研发工作可能不是“环境友好”政策的结果,而是由于对未来法规的期望。我得出结论,现在或将来都需要制定法规,以促使企业进行污染减排和研发。我提供的证据表明,当公司决定当前的污染减排策略时,《京都议定书》具有约束力。我还表明,通过适当地运用财政政策,只要有减排研发,政府就能实现可持续发展的政策。

著录项

  • 作者

    Knabb, Shawn David.;

  • 作者单位

    University of California, Santa Barbara.;

  • 授予单位 University of California, Santa Barbara.;
  • 学科 Economics Theory.; Political Science Public Administration.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2001
  • 页码 184 p.
  • 总页数 184
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 经济学;政治理论;
  • 关键词

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