首页> 外文学位 >Computation of value-at-risk: The fast convolution method, dimension reduction and perturbation theory.
【24h】

Computation of value-at-risk: The fast convolution method, dimension reduction and perturbation theory.

机译:风险价值的计算:快速卷积方法,降维和扰动理论。

获取原文
获取原文并翻译 | 示例

摘要

Value-at-risk is a measure of market risk for a portfolio. Market risk is the chance that the portfolio declines in value due to changes in market variables. This thesis is about the computation of value-at-risk for portfolios with derivatives and for models for returns that have a distribution with fat tails.; We introduce a new Fourier algorithm, the fast convolution method, for computing value-at-risk. The fast convolution method is different from other Fourier methods in that it does not require that the characteristic function of the portfolio returns be known explicitly. Our new method can therefore be used with more general return models. In the thesis we present experiments with three return models: the normal model, the asymmetric T model and a model using the non-parametric Parzen density estimator. We also discuss how the fast convolution method can be extended to compute the value-at-risk gradient, present a proof of convergence and illustrate the performance of the method with examples.; We develop and compare two methods for dimension reduction in the computation of value-at-risk. The goal of dimension reduction is to reduce computation time by finding a small model that captures the main dynamics of the original model. We compare the two methods for an example problem and conclude that the method based on mean square error is superior. Finally, we present an optimization example that illustrates that dimension reduction may reduce the time to compute value-at-risk while maintaining good accuracy.; We develop a perturbation theory for value-at-risk with respect to changes in the return model. By considering variational properties, we derive a first-order error bound and find the condition number of value-at-risk. We argue that the sensitivity observed in empirical studies is an inherent limitation of value-at-risk.
机译:风险价值是投资组合的市场风险的度量。市场风险是指由于市场变量的变化导致投资组合价值下降的机会。本文涉及具有衍生工具的投资组合的风险价值的计算,以及具有尾巴分布的收益模型的风险价值的计算。我们介绍了一种新的傅立叶算法,即快速卷积方法,用于计算风险价值。快速卷积方法与其他傅立叶方法的不同之处在于,它不需要明确地了解投资组合收益的特征函数。因此,我们的新方法可以与更一般的收益模型一起使用。在本文中,我们介绍了三种返回模型的实验:正常模型,非对称T模型和使用非参数Parzen密度估计器的模型。我们还将讨论如何扩展快速卷积方法以计算风险值梯度,提供收敛证明并通过示例说明该方法的性能。我们开发并比较了两种用于风险价值计算的降维方法。降维的目标是通过找到一个捕捉原始模型主要动态的小模型来减少计算时间。我们比较了这两种方法的一个示例问题,并得出结论,基于均方误差的方法是更好的。最后,我们给出一个优化示例,该示例说明降维可以减少在保持良好准确性的情况下计算风险值的时间。我们针对收益模型的变化开发了一种风险价值微扰理论。通过考虑变化性质,我们得出一阶误差界限并找到风险值的条件数。我们认为,在经验研究中观察到的敏感性是风险价值的固有局限性。

著录项

  • 作者

    Wiberg, Petter Viktor.;

  • 作者单位

    University of Toronto (Canada).;

  • 授予单位 University of Toronto (Canada).;
  • 学科 Computer Science.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2002
  • 页码 88 p.
  • 总页数 88
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 自动化技术、计算机技术;
  • 关键词

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号