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Option pricing and stable trading strategies in the presence of information asymmetry.

机译:在信息不对称的情况下,期权定价和稳定的交易策略。

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摘要

Pricing derivatives is one of the central issues in mathematical finance. The seminal work of Black, Scholes and Merton has been the cornerstone of option pricing since their introduction in 1973. Their work influenced the pricing theory of other derivatives as well.;This derivative pricing theory has two primary shortcomings. Firstly, the theoretical pricing in such theories are not accompanied by a stable trading strategy. Secondly, they often assume that the market agents use a uniform model for the underlying instrument and that the market prices of the derivatives reveal all the information about the underlying instrument.;Theoreticians like Grossman and Stiglitz have pointed out that market equilibrium models without considering the role of information dissemination, are often incomplete. On the other hand, traders like Soros, presented an empirical theory, called the theory of reflection, where he conjectures that a swing between a boom and a bust is the market norm.;The aim of this thesis is to develop the theoretical framework and conduct two carefully designed tests to demonstrate that the prevailing pricing techniques are too general to provide guidance for investment practice.;In the first part we provide evidence using a simple and well known trend tracking tool, that there is indeed inefficiencies in the option market that one can take advantage of. We also show that trading strategies that are stable under small model perturbations are those of pure positions like buying a call, writing a covered call, a vertical spread or pure stock.;In the other part, we focus on the class of optionable biomedical companies with small market capitalization and narrow product focus, which are known for having price jumps whose timings are predictable. We present evidence using an alternative model that it is possible to extract more accurate information on the price movement of the stock from the option prices.
机译:衍生产品的定价是数学金融学的核心问题之一。自1973年引入以来,Black,Scholes和Merton的开创性工作一直是期权定价的基石。他们的工作也影响了其他衍生产品的定价理论。该衍生产品定价理论有两个主要缺陷。首先,这种理论的理论定价并没有稳定的交易策略。其次,他们通常假设市场主体对基础工具使用统一模型,而衍生产品的市场价格揭示了有关基础工具的所有信息。;格罗斯曼和斯蒂格利茨等理论家指出市场均衡模型并未考虑信息传播的作用,往往是不完整的。另一方面,像索罗斯(Soros)这样的交易者提出了一个经验理论,即反思理论,他在其中推测,繁荣与萧条之间的波动是市场规范。本论文的目的是发展理论框架并进行两次精心设计的测试,以证明现行定价技术过于笼统,无法为投资实践提供指导。在第一部分中,我们使用简单且众所周知的趋势跟踪工具提供了证据,证明期权市场确实存在效率低下的问题,可以利用。我们还表明,在小规模模型干扰下稳定的交易策略是纯粹持仓的交易策略,例如买入看涨期权,开立看涨看涨期权,垂直价差或纯股票;在另一部分中,我们专注于可选生物医学公司类别具有较小的市值和狭窄的产品重点,这是众所周知的,价格上涨的时机可预测。我们使用替代模型提供的证据表明,可以从期权价格中提取有关股票价格变动的更准确信息。

著录项

  • 作者

    Dutta, Anirban.;

  • 作者单位

    Western Michigan University.;

  • 授予单位 Western Michigan University.;
  • 学科 Applied Mathematics.;Mathematics.;Economics Finance.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2010
  • 页码 91 p.
  • 总页数 91
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

  • 入库时间 2022-08-17 11:45:44

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