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Essays on Commercial Banking: Survival, Performance, and Heterogeneous Technologies.

机译:商业银行散文:生存,性能和异构技术。

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摘要

In the first chapter, we focus on explaining the U.S. commercial banking failures during the recent financial crisis. We employ the semi-parametric mixture hazard model (MHM) with both continuous and discrete time specifications to first, distinguish between troubled and healthy banks and second, to estimate the probability and the timing of their failure. We combine the MHM with the stochastic frontier model (SFM) to explore the role of managerial inefficiency on a bank's longer term viability. We find that the discrete-time MHM which takes the managerial inefficiencies into account fits well and dominates other competing specifications by accurately predicting the timing of failures both in and out of the sample.;The second chapter explores a new class of flexible cross-sectional parametric SFMs that impose an unobservable bound on the inefficiency term. We consider doubly truncated normal, truncated half-normal, and truncated exponential distributions to model the inefficiencies. We extend the models to the panel data setting and specify a time-varying inefficiency bound. We apply these models to analyze the performance of the U.S. commercial banking industry during 1984-2009.;In the third chapter, we address the issue of the "wrong" skewness of the least squares residuals that often arises in applied studies using the traditional SFM. Findings of "wrong" skewness imply that the SFM is misspecified and all firms are fully efficient. Based on doubly truncated normal distribution that displays both positive and negative skewness, we prove that "wrong" skewness does not necessarily imply that the SFM model is misspecified.;The fourth chapter investigates the existence of heterogeneous technologies in the U.S. commercial banking industry through the threshold effects estimation techniques, modified to allow for tune-varying effects. We employ the total assets as a threshold variable and determine seven distinct technology-groups.;In the fifth chapter, we describe the commercial banking data that are extracted from the quarterly Consolidated Reports of Condition and Income (Call Reports). We detail the construction of the key variables used in this thesis, which mainly contain output quantities, input quantities and prices, bank-specific structural and geographical characteristics, as well as a number of measures of risk.
机译:在第一章中,我们重点介绍最近的金融危机期间美国商业银行业务的失败。我们采用具有连续和离散时间规格的半参数混合危害模型(MHM),首先,区分陷入困境的银行和健康的银行,其次,以评估其破产的可能性和时机。我们将MHM与随机前沿模型(SFM)相结合,以探索管理效率低下对银行长期生存能力的作用。我们发现考虑到管理效率低下的离散时间MHM可以很好地拟合并通过准确地预测样本内外的失效时间来主导其他竞争规范。第二章探讨了新型的柔性横截面对无效项施加不可观察的约束的参数SFM。我们考虑双重截断正态,截断半正态和截断指数分布以对效率进行建模。我们将模型扩展到面板数据设置,并指定随时间变化的无效边界。我们使用这些模型来分析1984-2009年美国商业银行业的表现。在第三章中,我们解决了使用传统SFM进行应用研究时经常出现的最小二乘残差的“错误”偏度问题。 。发现“错误”偏斜意味着SFM指定不正确,并且所有公司都完全有效。基于同时显示正偏和负偏的双重截断正态分布,我们证明“错误”偏斜并不一定意味着SFM模型指定不正确。第四章通过对美国商业银行业中异构技术的存在进行了研究。阈值影响估计技术,已进行了修改,以允许产生变化的影响。我们将总资产用作阈值变量,并确定七个不同的技术组。在第五章中,我们描述了从季度状况和收入合并报告(呼叫报告)中提取的商业银行数据。我们详细介绍了本文使用的关键变量的构造,这些变量主要包含产出量,投入量和价格,银行特定的结构和地理特征以及多种风险度量。

著录项

  • 作者

    Almanidis, Pavlos.;

  • 作者单位

    Rice University.;

  • 授予单位 Rice University.;
  • 学科 Economics General.;Business Administration Banking.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2011
  • 页码 211 p.
  • 总页数 211
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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