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Essays in optimization of commodity procurement, processing and trade operations.

机译:优化商品采购,加工和贸易运作的论文。

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摘要

Managing commodity price uncertainty is an integral part of many firms' business process. Firms adopt a variety of operational strategies to manage this uncertainty, subject to operational constraints such as finite procurement and processing capacities. The availability of financial derivative instruments provide firms with additional options to manage the risk from commodity operations. This dissertation explores different aspects of managing the price uncertainty for a commodity processing firm in a series of four related essays.;The first three essays consider the integrated procurement, processing and trade decisions for a firm operating a single location with procurement and processing capacity constraints under risk-neutral and risk-averse objective functions. These essays focus on deriving the optimal policy structure and developing computationally tractable heuristics where required. The first essay considers a risk-neutral firm maximizing expected profits from operations over a multi-period horizon and derives the optimal operational policy for the firm. The second essay deals with the issue of time-consistent decision making in risk-averse settings while the third essay looks at the value of operational hedging, such as excess procurement or processing capacity.;The fourth essay extends the single location problem to a network setting and considers a 'star' network configuration. While solving the network problem optimally is hard, this essay proposes heuristics based on insights from the optimal policy structure for the single node problem to address the computational complexities. In addition, this essay also proposes a myopic heuristic to manage the commodity procurement and processing decisions in a network. Numerical studies indicate that these heuristics provide a significant improvement in expected profits, compared to heuristics used in practice.
机译:管理商品价格不确定性是许多公司业务流程不可或缺的一部分。公司采取各种运营策略来管理这种不确定性,但要受到诸如有限采购和加工能力等运营约束的约束。金融衍生工具的可利用性为企业提供了更多选择来管理商品经营的风险。本文通过四篇相关文章探讨了商品加工企业价格不确定性管理的不同方面。前三篇论文考虑了在单一地点经营且有采购和加工能力约束的企业的综合采购,加工和贸易决策在风险中性和规避风险的目标函数下。这些论文着重于推导最佳策略结构,并在需要时开发可计算的启发式算法。第一篇文章考虑了一个风险中立的公司,该公司在多个时期内都能从运营中获得最大预期利润,并得出了该公司的最佳运营政策。第二篇文章讨论了规避风险的时间一致决策问题,而第三篇文章则探讨了对冲的价值,例如过度的采购或处理能力。第四篇文章将单一地点问题扩展到网络设置并考虑“星型”网络配置。虽然很难以最佳方式解决网络问题,但本文还是基于单节点问题的最佳策略结构的见解提出了启发式方法,以解决计算复杂性问题。此外,本文还提出了一种近视启发式方法来管理网络中的商品采购和处理决策。数值研究表明,与实际使用的启发式方法相比,这些启发式方法可显着提高预期利润。

著录项

  • 作者

    Devalkar, Sripad Krishnaji.;

  • 作者单位

    University of Michigan.;

  • 授予单位 University of Michigan.;
  • 学科 Business Administration Management.;Operations Research.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2011
  • 页码 172 p.
  • 总页数 172
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

  • 入库时间 2022-08-17 11:44:50

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