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An Examination of Risk Perceptions and Allocation Preferences in Public-Private Partnerships in Nigeria.

机译:尼日利亚公私合营伙伴关系中的风险感知和分配偏好检查。

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摘要

Risk perceptions and allocation preferences are important elements of Public-Private Partnerships (PPP); as the fundamental tension in any negotiation between the public and private sector in PPPs usually comes down to the question: who is responsible for managing a particular risk? Yet research literature suggests that these phenomena have not been adequately studied; hence they remained poorly understood. Particularly within the context of a developing country such as Nigeria: a complex country characterised by shifting socio-political and economic systems, yet bedevilled with huge infrastructure gap. This gap keeps widening especially with Nigeria's burgeoning population, rapid urbanization, dysfunctional institutions and increasing fiscal pressures. This certainly makes the poignant case for a PPP as an alternative procurement method.;To shed light on these phenomena, the research expedition in this thesis empirically answers the following interrelated questions: How do private and public sector partner prefer risks to be shared (or allocated) in PPPs in Nigeria? Second, given that the initial disposition towards risk is the starting point for risk allocation in PPPs, are there significant differences in risk perceptions of different stakeholder groups involved in PPPs in Nigeria?;Research participants (spanning banking, construction, and public sector groups who were selected through a convenience sampling method) completed an online survey with Likert-type items within six months (i.e. between June and November 2011) to gauge probabilities of occurrence, risk impact and risk significance of 46 risk factors pertaining to PPP projects. As data did not meet the assumptions for parametric statistics, Mann-Whitney U tests were performed to evaluate the ranked differences in the variables (i.e. 46 risk factors) between private and public sector groups. This study dissects empirically the risk perceptions of stakeholders, confirming homogeneity in risk perceptions contrary to the heterogeneity prediction of agency theory. It was established that there were no significant ranked differences for perceptions of risk significance among various stakeholder groups. Therefore, with homogeneity in risk perceptions among PPP stakeholders (contrary to the theoretical heterogeneity prediction) it was argued that risks are likely to be allocated to the party best capable of managing them in Nigeria; thus PPPs could have a chance to succeed in the country in spite of its weak institutional conditions. The results further show that the three most important risk factors in Nigeria are: excessive contract variation, construction time delay and construction cost overrun.;Lastly, on risk allocation preferences, this study shows that 27 (59%) out of the 46 risk factors are preferred to be allocated to the private sector, while 8 (17%) risk factors are to be allocated to the public sector and 11 (24%) of the risk factors are to be equally shared between the private and public sectors.
机译:风险认知和分配偏好是公私伙伴关系(PPP)的重要要素;因为公私合作伙伴关系中公私部门之间进行谈判的根本张力通常归结为一个问题:谁负责管理特定风险?但是研究文献表明,这些现象尚未得到充分研究。因此他们仍然知之甚少。特别是在像尼日利亚这样的发展中国家的背景下:这是一个复杂的国家,其特点是社会政治和经济体系发生了变化,但其基础设施差距巨大。随着尼日利亚人口的迅速增长,城市化的快速发展,机构功能失调以及财政压力的增加,这一差距不断扩大。这无疑使购买力平价成为一种替代的采购方式显得更为严厉。;为阐明这些现象,本论文的研究远征从经验上回答了以下相互关联的问题:私营和公共部门合作伙伴如何选择分担风险(或在尼日利亚的PPP中分配)?其次,考虑到最初对风险的处置是PPP中风险分配的起点,尼日利亚参与PPP的不同利益相关者群体在风险观念上是否存在显着差异?;研究参与者(包括银行,建筑和公共部门群体)通过便利抽样方法进行选择)在六个月内(即2011年6月至2011年11月之间)完成了用李克特类项目的在线调查,以评估与PPP项目有关的46种风险因素的发生概率,风险影响和风险显着性。由于数据不符合参数统计的假设,因此进行了Mann-Whitney U检验以评估私营部门和公共部门组之间变量(即46个风险因素)的排名差异。本研究从经验上剖析了利益相关者的风险感知,确认了风险感知的同质性与代理理论的异质性预测相反。可以确定的是,各个利益相关者群体之间对于风险重要性的认知没有显着的等级差异。因此,由于PPP利益相关者之间对风险的理解是同质的(与理论上的异质性预测相反),有人认为,风险可能会分配给最有能力在尼日利亚管理风险的一方。因此,尽管体制条件薄弱,但公私合作仍可能有机会在该国取得成功。结果进一步表明,尼日利亚最重要的三个风险因素是:过度的合同变动,施工时间延迟和建筑成本超支;最后,根据风险分配偏好,本研究表明,在46个风险因素中,有27个(59%)最好将风险因素分配给私营部门,而将8(17%)个风险因素分配给公共部门,而将11个风险因素(24%)分配给私营部门和公共部门。

著录项

  • 作者

    Tolani, Olufemi Vincent.;

  • 作者单位

    University of Calgary (Canada).;

  • 授予单位 University of Calgary (Canada).;
  • 学科 Management.;Economics.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2013
  • 页码 141 p.
  • 总页数 141
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

  • 入库时间 2022-08-17 11:42:23

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