首页> 外文学位 >Modeling dependence and limit theorems for Copula-based Markov chains.
【24h】

Modeling dependence and limit theorems for Copula-based Markov chains.

机译:为基于Copula的马尔可夫链建模依赖关系和极限定理。

获取原文
获取原文并翻译 | 示例

摘要

This dissertation is concerned with the notion of copula and its importance in modeling and estimation. We use the theory of copulas to assess dependence properties of stationary Markov chains and convergence to the Brownian motion. In the introductory chapter we overview the theory of copulas and their relationship with dependence coefficients for Markov chains. In Chapter 1, we investigate the rates of convergence to zero of the dependence coefficients of copula-based Markov chains. We first review some theoretical results, then improve them and propose an estimate of the maximal correlation coefficient between consecutive states. We also comment on the relationship between geometric ergodicity and exponential rho-mixing for reversible Markov chains. We show that convex combinations of (absolutely regular) geometrically ergodic stationary reversible Markov chains are (absolutely regular) geometrically ergodic and exponential rho-mixing. Moreover, we show that this result holds if only one of the summands is geometrically ergodic. Most of the results are based on our observation that if the absolutely continuous part of the copula has a density bounded away from 0 on a set of measure 1, then it generates absolutely regular stationary Markov chains. Many other striking results are provided on this topic in subsequent sections of Chapter 1. We also use small sets to investigate beta-mixing rates for the Frechet and Mardia families of copulas. We provide new copula families with functions as parameters. We derive the copula for the general Metropolis-Hastings algorithm and use it to apply our results to this class of processes. In Chapter 2, we provide a background survey on functional central limit theorem for stationary Markov chains with a general state space. We emphasize the relationship between the dependence coefficients studied in Chapter 1 and convergence of normalized partial sums of the chain to a standard normal random variable. We present results showing that in most of the cases we consider, the invariance principle holds. In Chapter 3, we study the functional central limit theorem for stationary Markov chains with self-adjoint operator and general state space. We investigate the case when the variance of the partial sum is not asymptotically linear in n, and establish that conditional convergence in distribution of partial sums implies functional CLT. The main tools are maximal inequalities that are further exploited to derive conditions for tightness and convergence to the Brownian motion. The maximal inequalities are based on a new forward-backward martingale decomposition with a triangular array of differences.
机译:本文的研究涉及系动词的概念及其在建模和估计中的重要性。我们使用copulas理论来评估平稳马尔可夫链的依存性和布朗运动的收敛性。在介绍性章节中,我们概述了系动词理论及其与马尔可夫链的依赖系数的关系。在第一章中,我们研究了基于copula的马尔可夫链的依赖系数的收敛速度为零。我们首先回顾一些理论结果,然后对其进行改进,并提出对连续状态之间最大相关系数的估计。我们还评论了可逆马尔可夫链的几何遍历性和指数rho混合之间的关系。我们证明(绝对规则)几何遍历固定可逆马氏链的凸组合是(绝对规则)几何遍历和指数的rho-混合。此外,我们证明,如果只有一个被加数是几何遍历的,则该结果成立。大多数结果是基于我们的观察结果,如果在一组度量1上,系数的绝对连续部分的密度在0范围内,则它将生成绝对规则的固定马尔可夫链。在第1章的后续章节中,针对此主题提供了许多其他惊人的结果。我们还使用小集合来研究coples的Frechet和Mardia系列的β混合速率。我们为新的copula系列提供功能作为参数。我们推导了通用Metropolis-Hastings算法的copula,并将其用于将我们的结果应用于此类过程。在第二章中,我们对具有一般状态空间的平稳马尔可夫链的功能中心极限定理进行了背景调查。我们强调在第1章中研究的依赖系数与链的归一化部分和与标准正态随机变量的收敛之间的关系。我们提供的结果表明,在我们考虑的大多数情况下,不变性原理成立。在第三章中,我们研究了具有自伴算子和一般状态空间的平稳马尔可夫链的泛函中心极限定理。我们研究了部分和的方差在n中不是渐近线性的情况,并确定部分和的分布中的条件收敛意味着函数CLT。主要工具是最大不等式,可以进一步利用这些最大不等式来得出紧密性和布朗运动收敛的条件。最大不等式是基于具有差异三角形阵列的新的前向后mar分解。

著录项

  • 作者

    Longla, Martial.;

  • 作者单位

    University of Cincinnati.;

  • 授予单位 University of Cincinnati.;
  • 学科 Mathematics.;Applied Mathematics.;Statistics.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2013
  • 页码 128 p.
  • 总页数 128
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

  • 入库时间 2022-08-17 11:41:43

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号