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Euro area imbalances: Essays on offshoring, expenditure growth, and expenditure switching.

机译:欧元区失衡:关于离岸,支出增长和支出转换的文章。

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摘要

Measuring the Contribution of Expenditure Growth and Expenditure Switching: The chapter introduces a decomposition of trade flows that allows to measure expenditure-growth effects (changes in domestic and foreign final demand) and expenditure-switching effects (changes in the allocation of demand across domestic and foreign producers). The decomposition is applied to 11 euro members 1990-2013. Most countries, including Germany, recorded unfavorable expenditure-switching effects (demand shifted from domestic to foreign producers); expenditure switching was most unfavorable in Finland, France, and Italy. There is no correlation between unit labor cost growth and expenditure switching.;Spillover Effects of Germany's Final Demand on Southern Europe: The chapter calibrates a closed multi-country input-output model with data from the World Input-Output Database to estimate spillover effects of Germany's final demand on GDP, employment, and the trade balance in Southern European countries. Spillover effects are found to be small. Germany alone is unable to make a significant contribution to the external adjustment process in the European South. A coordinated asymmetric expansion would help.;Offshoring, Employment, and Aggregate Demand: The chapter uses a demand-constrained small-open-economy model in the tradition of Keynes and Kalecki to study the effects of offshoring on aggregate demand and domestic employment. Offshoring is represented as labor-saving import-using technical change. The results depend on the behavior of the markup on unit costs. If firms absorb the competitiveness gain through higher markups, the scale effect of labor demand is negative, and offshoring unambiguously reduces domestic demand and employment. If the markup remains constant, the net effect of offshoring on domestic demand and employment is ambiguous; it depends crucially on the price elasticity of exports.
机译:衡量支出增长和支出转换的贡献:本章介绍了贸易流量的分解,该方法可用来衡量支出增长效应(国内外最终需求的变化)和支出转换效应(国内和国际需求分配的变化)外国生产者)。该分解适用于1990年至2013年的11个欧元成员国。包括德国在内的大多数国家都表现出不利的支出转换效应(需求从国内生产者转移到国外生产者);在芬兰,法国和意大利,支出转换最为不利。单位人工成本的增长与支出的转换之间没有关联。德国最终需求对南欧的溢出效应:本章使用世界投入产出数据库中的数据对一个封闭的多国投入产出模型进行了校准,以估算以下方面的溢出效应。德国对南欧国家的GDP,就业和贸易平衡的最终需求。发现溢出效应很小。仅德国就无法为欧洲南部的外部调整进程做出重大贡献。协调的不对称扩张将有所帮助。离岸,就业和总需求:本章使用凯恩斯和卡莱基传统上的需求约束的小开放经济模型来研究离岸对总需求和国内就业的影响。离岸业务代表节省劳力的进口使用技术变更。结果取决于单位成本的加价行为。如果企业通过提高加价来吸收竞争力,那么劳动力需求的规模效应将是负面的,并且离岸外包无疑会减少国内需求和就业。如果加成保持不变,那么离岸对国内需求和就业的净影响就模棱两可;这主要取决于出口的价格弹性。

著录项

  • 作者

    Schroder, Enno.;

  • 作者单位

    The New School.;

  • 授予单位 The New School.;
  • 学科 Economics.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2016
  • 页码 132 p.
  • 总页数 132
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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