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Econometric analysis of inventory and capacity management.

机译:计量经济分析库存和容量管理。

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摘要

There exists a substantial literature on how firms should manage inventory and capacity, but less is known about what firms actually do. In practice, there is considerable heterogeneity in inventory holdings, even across firms within a single industry. The main objective of this dissertation is to use field data on actual decisions to measure which are the main drivers of inventory and capacity decisions.; This dissertation is composed of three essays. The first essay develops a methodology to estimate the underlying costs of a Newsvendor model based on actual decisions. We present a structural estimation framework that captures the effect of uncertainty and mismatch costs on the decisions made by the newsvendor. This econometric model is applied to a hospital that balances the costs of reserving too much vs. too little operating room capacity. The results reveal that the hospital places more emphasis on the tangible costs of having idle capacity than on the costs of schedule overrun. Over-confidence and incentive conflicts are important drivers of the frequency of schedule overruns.; The second and third essays analyze finished-goods inventory holdings in the U.S. automobile industry. The second essay uses panel data to measure the effect of several factors on aggregate inventory holdings of new vehicles. Four of these factors---product variety, demand variability, production flexibility and sales volume---explain a large fraction of the differences in inventory across manufacturers.; The third essay estimates the effect of local market conditions on inventory holdings of automobile dealerships. We collected (via a web-crawler) an original dataset on inventory and sales of auto dealerships of a large manufacturer. Using cross-sectional variation of dealers in geographically isolated markets, we estimate the effect of market structure (number and type of competitors) and sales on inventory levels. The results suggest a strong positive non-linear effect of the number of rivals on the buffer stock carried by retailers, which increases inventory. Counterfactual experiments indicate that reducing the dealership network of this manufacturer (thereby reducing competition) could reduce the remaining dealers' days-of-supply from 14% to 27%.
机译:关于公司应如何管理库存和容量的文献很多,但对公司实际行为的了解却很少。实际上,即使在一个行业内的各个公司之间,库存持有量也存在相当大的异质性。本文的主要目的是利用实际决策的现场数据来衡量哪些是库存和能力决策的主要驱动力。本文由三篇论文组成。第一篇文章提出了一种根据实际决策来估算Newsvendor模型的基础成本的方法。我们提供了一个结构估计框架,该框架捕获了不确定性和错配成本对新闻供应商所做决定的影响。此计量经济学模型应用于医院,该医院平衡了预留太多手术室容量与预留太多手术室容量的成本。结果表明,与计划超支相比,医院更加重视拥有闲置能力的有形成本。过度自信和激励冲突是进度超支频率的重要驱动因素。第二篇和第三篇文章分析了美国汽车工业中制成品库存的持有量。第二篇文章使用面板数据来衡量几个因素对新车总库存量的影响。其中四个因素-产品种类,需求变化,生产灵活性和销量-解释了制造商之间库存差异的很大一部分。第三篇文章估计了当地市场状况对汽车经销店存货的影响。我们(通过网络爬虫)收集了有关大型制造商的汽车经销商的库存和销售情况的原始数据集。利用地理上孤立的市场中经销商的横截面变化,我们估计了市场结构(竞争对手的数量和类型)和销售对库存水平的影响。结果表明,竞争对手数量对零售商携带的缓冲库存具有强烈的正非线性影响,从而增加了库存。反事实实验表明,减少该制造商的经销网络(从而减少竞争)可能会使其余经销商的供货天数从14%减少到27%。

著录项

  • 作者单位

    University of Pennsylvania.;

  • 授予单位 University of Pennsylvania.;
  • 学科 Business Administration Management.; Economics General.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2007
  • 页码 184 p.
  • 总页数 184
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 贸易经济;经济学;
  • 关键词

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