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Predicting powers of potential income versus credit history for loan repayment.

机译:预测潜在收入与贷方历史记录的偿还能力。

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摘要

This study examined Potential Income as a factor in predicting loan repayment to minimize the problem of loan defaults. Risk management theories have provided emphatic guidelines for risk control and management of banks' loans, yet the results of other research indicate that the credit evaluation system does not fully explore all available predictors of loan repayment and is therefore less efficient at predicting loan repayment. Specifically, there is a lack of academic research on the predictive power of potential income on loan payments. Lending exposures constitute the most material risk concentrations within a bank. This study will help Banks to impose better controls over credit risk.; The purpose of the present study was to investigate the predicting powers of potential income as an additional independent variable to credit history to predict loan repayment. An original survey instrument was designed and administered to 146 participants. Loan Repayment was the dependent variable, and Credit History and Potential Income were the independent variables. The key statistical tool employed to establish meaningfulness of the relationships was multiple regression. Results of the regression were significant, F(2, 143) = 83.13, p .001; and Credit History and Potential Income predicted 53.1% of the variance in Loan Repayment. The findings suggest that lenders should consider both credit history and income potential predictors in credit rationing decisions. Further studies are recommended to enhance sound credit decisions by reducing incidences of loan defaults.; The results may impact positively on the way society rations credit. Lenders may gain in-depth understanding of the most important factors in making credit decisions to reduce loan default experiences. This would allow for increased consumer spending and lead to more stimulating effects on macroeconomic activities. This would also make homeownership possible for many who would be otherwise judged on their credit history more than their potential incomes.
机译:这项研究将潜在收入作为预测偿还贷款的因素,以最大程度地减少贷款违约问题。风险管理理论为银行贷款的风险控制和管理提供了重要的指导,但是其他研究的结果表明,信用评估系统并未充分探索所有可用的贷款还款预测因素,因此在预测贷款还款方面效率较低。具体而言,缺乏关于潜在收入对贷款支付的预测能力的学术研究。贷款风险构成银行内最重大的风险集中度。这项研究将有助于银行更好地控制信贷风险。本研究的目的是调查潜在收入的预测能力,将其作为信用记录的附加自变量来预测贷款还款。设计了原始调查工具并将其管理给146名参与者。偿还贷款是因变量,信贷历史和潜在收入是自变量。建立关系有意义性的关键统计工具是多元回归。回归结果显着,F(2,143)= 83.13,p <.001;信用记录和潜在收入预测偿还贷款的差异为53.1%。研究结果表明,贷方应在信贷配给决策中同时考虑信贷历史和潜在收入预测因素。建议进一步研究,以通过减少贷款违约的发生率来增强合理的信贷决策。结果可能对社会定量信贷的方式产生积极影响。贷款人可以对做出信贷决定以减少贷款违约经历的最重要因素有深入的了解。这将增加消费者的支出,并导致对宏观经济活动的更多刺激作用。这也将使许多人有可能拥有房屋,而这些人在其他方面根据其信用记录而不是其潜在收入来判断。

著录项

  • 作者

    Addo, Charles Kwame.;

  • 作者单位

    Walden University.;

  • 授予单位 Walden University.;
  • 学科 Business Administration Management.; Economics Finance.; Business Administration Banking.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2006
  • 页码 118 p.
  • 总页数 118
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 贸易经济;财政、金融;金融、银行;
  • 关键词

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