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Capital flight, financial liberalization and economic performance.

机译:资本外逃,金融自由化和经济绩效。

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摘要

One of the challenges faced by developing countries is to stimulate investment for achieving higher growth rates. On the other hand, the phenomenon capital flight, which is defined as unrecorded capital outflows by the residents of a capital-scarce country, causes detrimental outcomes on the economies of many developing countries. In this paper, I investigate the potentially devastating effects of capital flight on investment, saving and current account as well as how these effects change over time with financial liberalization policies; a topic that remains largely unanalyzed for developing countries. In order to test the impact of capital flight, first, I calculate capital flight estimates for the 29 emerging market economies between 1970 and 2004 by using the so-called "residual method." Afterwards, I employ a dynamic panel methodology that controls for country-specific effects as well as accounting for the potential endogeneity of the explanatory variables. The results suggest that capital flight has a significant and negative effect on investment and current account, however, the importance of this effect seems to have declined after the 1990s as the emerging markets attracted more capital inflows from developed countries. If developing countries can prevent capital from fleeing by implementing sound macroeconomic policies, these funds could be used not only to enhance investment, but also to reduce the dependency on foreign capital. (JEL Classification: F29, F40).
机译:发展中国家面临的挑战之一是刺激投资以实现更高的增长率。另一方面,资本外逃现象被定义为一个资本稀缺国家的居民未记录的资本外流,对许多发展中国家的经济造成不利的后果。在本文中,我研究了资本外逃对投资,储蓄和经常账户的潜在破坏性影响,以及随着金融自由化政策这些影响随时间的变化。对于发展中国家来说,这个主题基本上还没有分析。为了检验资本外逃的影响,首先,我使用所谓的“剩余法”来计算1970年至2004年之间29个新兴市场经济体的资本外逃估计。之后,我采用了动态面板方法来控制特定国家/地区的影响,并说明解释变量的潜在内生性。结果表明,资本外逃对投资和经常账户产生了显着的负面影响,但是,这种影响的重要性似乎在1990年代后就下降了,因为新兴市场吸引了发达国家的更多资本流入。如果发展中国家可以通过实施合理的宏观经济政策来防止资本外逃,那么这些资金不仅可以用来增加投资,而且可以用来减少对外国资本的依赖。 (JEL分类:F29,F40)。

著录项

  • 作者

    Yalta, A. Yasemin.;

  • 作者单位

    Fordham University.;

  • 授予单位 Fordham University.;
  • 学科 Economics General.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2007
  • 页码 94 p.
  • 总页数 94
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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