声明
摘要
ABSTRACT
Table of Contents
INTRODUCTION
LITERATURE REVIEW
DATA
Data set description
Universe#1 Remove small companies
Universe#2 Remove companies with no analysts covering them
Universe#3 Remove stocks with less than one earninp forecast,target price,and recommendation
Highlight of the largest companies in this data set
METHODOLOGY
Calculation of 12-month analyst forecast accuracy
Outliers-Remove ontliers that distort results
Deciding minimum number of coverage analysts to include
Methodology related to source of analyst forecast error
ANALYSIS
Analysts across the world were optimistically wrong by 25%
Analysts forecast error for countries in Emerging market was a much higher 35%
Analysts forecast error was higher for cyclical industries
More analysts make for more accurate forecasts,to a point
Degree of skewness varied,generally Developed market forecast were less skewed
Almost all analyst earnings forecast error comes when earnings are falling
CONCLUSION
BIBLIOGRAPHY
APPENDIX