声明
致谢
Chapter 1: Introduction
1.1 Background
1.1.1 Prominence of Renewable Energy Technology
1.1.2 Liberalization Reform of Electricity Market
1.1.3 Supportive Policies for Low-carbon Electricity Transition
1.2 Literature Review
1.2.1 Low-carbon Transition of Power Generation Technologies
1.2.2 Low-carbon Deployment of Electricity Market
1.2.3 Low-carbon Design of Policy Mechanisms
1.3 Theories and Methods
1.4 Dissertation Objectives and Outline
Chapter 2: How to Achieve the Large-Scale Application of Photovoltaic (PV) PowerGeneration: Nursing, Bridging and Mature Market
2.1 Introduction
2.2 The Status Quo Analysis of China’s PV Industry based on TIS
2.2.1 Analysis of the PV Industry Chain Characteristics
2.2.2 Functional Pattern Analysis of the PV TIS
2.2.3 Relationship between Blocking Mechanisms and Functional Patterns
2.2.4 Inducement Mechanism Analysis based on Learning-by-doing
2.3 Methodology: Techno-economic Evaluation and Grid Parity Estimation
2.3.1 Techno-economic Evaluation
2.3.2 Grid Parity Estimation based on Learning Curve
2.4 Construction and Parameter Description of PV Power Generation System
2.4.1 Grid-connected PV Power Generation System
2.4.2 Off-grid PV Power Generation System
2.4.3 Data and Assumptions
2.5 Techno-economic Evaluation of PV Power Generation in China’s Five Cities
2.5.1 Solar Radiation of Five Cities
2.5.2 Techno-economic Evaluation of Grid-connected and Off-grid PV Systems
2.6 Grid Parity Estimation of PV Power Generation based on Learning Curve
2.6.1 The Learning Curve of PV Power Generation in Five Cities
2.6.2 Grid Parity of PV Power Generation in Five Cities
2.6.3 Sensitivity Analysis of Grid Parity
2.7 Conclusions and Policy Implications
Chapter 3: Understanding Future Low-carbon Electricity under Adaptive Cap-and-TradeSystem from a Behavior Perspective
3.1 Introduction
3.2 Methodology
3.2.1 Model Framework
3.2.2 Agent Setting
3.2.3 Market Rules
3.3 Data and Assumptions
3.3.1 The State of Company Agents
3.3.2 Market Parameters
3.4 Scenarios Design
3.5 Model Validation
3.6 Results and Discussions
3.6.1 Capacity and Electricity Generation Under Cap-and-Trade System
3.6.2 Heterogeneous Investment of Power Company Agents
3.6.3 Market Performance of the Cap-and-Trade System
3.6.4 Key Drivers for Efficient and Reliable Emission Reduction
3.6.5 Results Reliability
3.7 Conclusion and Policy Implications
Chapter 4: Analysis of Carbon Pass-through and Policy Synergy by Integration of ElectricitySystem Optimization and Agent-based Modelling
4.1 Introduction
4.2 Methods
4.2.1 Electricity Supply and Dispatch
4.2.2 CO2 Emission Trading
4.3 Data and Scenario Setting
4.3.1 Region Selection and Load Profiles
4.3.2 Transmission and Distribution Capacity
4.3.2 Power Plants and Related Parameters
4.3.3 Scenario Settings
4.4 Results and Discussions
4.4.1 Estimation of Carbon Pass-through Rates
4.4.2 Effect Comparison of CO2 Emission Trading and Renewable Electricity Target
4.4.3 Synergistic Effect of a Policy Mix
4.5 Conclusions
Chapter 5: Conclusion
5.1 Contributions
5.2 Future Research
参考文献
Journal Submissions and Publications
天津大学;
