摘要
Abstract
Table of Contents
List of Figures
List of Tables
1 Introduction
1.1 Background and Context
1.2 Scope and Objectives
1.3 Achievements
1.4 Overview of Dissertation
2 Literature Review
2.1 The Purchasing Power Parity Theory and Law of One Price
2.2 Exchange Rate Pass-Through
2.3 Empirical Literature on ERPT
3 Macroeconomic overview of South African economy
3.1 Overall Economic Performance
3.2 Exchange rate regimes in South Africa
3.3 Inflation dynamics in South Africa
3.4 Trade structure in South Africa
4 Data and Methodology
4.1 Dataset
4.1.1 ERPT Data issues
4.1.2 Description of the data
4.2 Econometric approach
4.2.1 The Ordinary Least Squares
4.2.2 Vector Autoregressive Model(VAR)
4.2.3 Vector error correction model
4.2.5 Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium model
4.3 Model specifications
4.3.1 The single equation approach
4.3.2 Vector autoregressive approach
4.4 Econometric issues
4.4.1 Stationarity and Non-stationarity
4.4.2 Cointegration
4.4.3 Diagnostic check
4.5 Structural analysis in VAR
5 Empirical results and Analysis
5.1 Single equation approach:OLS method
5.1.1 Unit root test
5.1.2 Johansen Cointegration test
5.1.3 ERPT estimates:OLS estimation
5.1.4 Results
5.2 Exchange rate pass-through:Vector autoregression estimates
5.2.1 Selection of the optimal lag length
5.2.2 Diagnostic check in VAR
5.2.3 Impulse response function analysis
5.2.4 Variance Decomposition analysis
5.2.5 Variance Decomposition analysis
5.3 Robustness check
6 Conclusion
6.1 Summary
6.2 Policy Suggestions
6.3 Future Work
References
声明