独创性声明及学位论文版权使用授权书
摘要
List of Figures
Chapter 1: Introduction
1.1 Financial Market Risk Management Measures
1.2 Financial market downside risk management
Chapter 2: Single Asset Portfolio Downside Risk Measured by Univariate Extreme Value Theory Methods
2.1 Introduction
2.2 Data
2.3 Univariate Extreme value theory
2.3.1 Fisher-Tippett theorem
2.3.2 Generalized Pareto distribution
2.3.3 Extremal index
2.3.4 Extreme value data analysis by generalized Pareto distribution
2.4 Extreme value data analysis of MSCI daily equity price return and SAFE exchange rate return
2.4.1 Chinese MSCI equity index modeling
2.4.2 Summary of MSCI equity index returns modeling
2.4.3 Summary of SAFE exchange rate returns modeling
2.4.4 Holding period variation effect
2.5 Downside Measures of a single asset Portfolio
2.5.1 The Value-at- Risk (VaR)
2.5.2 Single asset portfolio VaR
2.5.3 Single asset portfolio VaR determination from different holding period
2.5.4 GES (Generalized expected shortfall) of single asset portfolio
2.5.5 Single asset portfolio GES (T, q) determination from different holding period
2.6 The Capital-at-Risk
2.7 Conclusion
Chapter 3: International Equity Markets Portfolio Downside Risk Measured by Multivariate Extreme Value Conditional Correlation
3.1 Introduction
3.2 Theory on conditional correlation of extreme returns
3.3 Estimation procedure of conditional correlation of extreme returns
3.4 Correlation of extreme returns: Empirical evidence
3.5 Downside risk measure of bivariate asset portfolio
3.6 Conclusion
Chapter4:Portfolio Downside Risk Measure by Multivariate Maxima of Moving Maxima Process Under Value-at-Risk Constraint
4.1 Introduction
4.2VaR methods for portfolio risk measures
4.2.1 Variance-Covariance approach
4.2.2 Copula approach
4.2.3 Historical simulation approach
4.2.4 Monte-Carlo simulation approach
4.2.5 Extreme value approaches
4.3 Optimal portfolio theory
4.4 Capital-at-Risk for a Portfolio
4.5 Multivariate maxima of moving maxima process
4.5.1 Characterization of multivariate maxima of moving maxima processes
4.5.2 Estimation of multivariate maxima of moving maxima processes and etermination of tail dependence index
4.6 Computing coefficient of loss of capital-at-risk of international equity portfolio by multivariate maxima of moving maxima process
4.6.1 Empirical selection of the M4 model
4.6.2 Empirical estimation of the M4 model from equity data
4.6.3 Application of M4 model to international equity portfolio capital-at-risk determination
4.7 Measured Exchange Rate Exposure of Asian equity portfolio
4.7.1Currency market return and equity stock market return combination
4.7.2 Empirical selection of the M4 model from equity and exchange rate data
4.8 Conclusion
Chapter 5: Summary of Findings and Contributions
5.1 Main findings
5.2 Main contributions
5.3 Innovations:
5.4 Directions of future researches
Bibliography
Situation of Published Papers
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS