声明
CONTENTS
Acknowledgements
Abstract
摘要
1.Chapter Ⅰ Introduction
1.1.3.Wary attitudes
1.1.4.Wind power
1.2.Background and Research Overview
1.3.Motivation
1.4.Contributions
2.Chapter Ⅱ Distributions
2.1.Extreme value distributions
2.1.1.Extreme value theory
2.1.2.Gumbel distribution
2.1.3.Fréchet distribution
2.1.4.Weibull distribution
2.1.5.Generalized extreme value distribution
2.2.Burr type Ⅻ distribution
2.3.Rayleigh distribution
2.4.tlocation-scale distribution
2.5.Fitting the distribution
2.6.Maximum likelihood
3.Chapter Ⅲ Data and Methodology
3.1.Wind speed data
3.2.Methodology
3.2.1.Wind speed analysis by six distributions individually
3.2.2.R-squared(R2)
3.2.3.Root mean square error(RMSE)
3.2.4.Negative log-likelihood
3.2.5.Akaike information criterion(AIC)
3.2.7.Model selection criteria
3.2.8.Wind speed analysis by mixed distributions
4.Chapter Ⅳ Results
4.1.1.Beijing
4.1.2.Anhui
4.1.3.Chongqing
4.1.4.Fujian
4.1.5.Gansu
4.1.6.Guangdong
4.1.7.Guangxi
4.1.8.Guizhou
4.1.9.Hainan
4.1.10.Hebei
4.1.11.Hunan
4.1.12.Inner Mongolia
4.1.13.Jiangsu
4.1.14.Jiangxi
4.1.15.Jilin
4.1.16.Liaoning
4.1.17.Ningxia
4.1.18.Qinghai
4.1.19.Shaanxi
4.1.20.Shandong
4.1.21.Shanghai
4.1.22.Shanxi
4.1.23.Sichuan
4.1.24.Tianjin
4.1.25.Tibet
4.1.26.Xinjiang
4.1.27.Yunnan
4.1.28.Zhejiang
4.2.Wind analysis of univariate and mixed distributions
4.2.1.Shandong province
4.2.2.Municipalities
5.Chapter Ⅴ Discussion
6.Chapter Ⅵ Conclusion
References
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