New decision-making and optimization strategies in the market- production relationship

摘要

In this paper we propose a mathematical model for the market diagnosis strategy for the procurement, based on the functions that correlate the random variables of this complex process that proves that empirical appreciations have a limited value irrespective of the manager's experience. We define the market response function and show that the likelihood of measuring a market should lead to k information units in the interval (t, t + T) is of type conditional Poisson. The processing of information obtained from the observing of the market is based on decision criteria similar to the criteria from the information transmission theory. In the end we propose a method of automatic implementation of the decision-making process, based on the information that results from the market study in real time.