Model Fit of Mexican Elections: From Binary to Quaternary Elections in the Dawn of Mexican Welfare State

摘要

Chi-square Tests have been applied to identify Binary, Ternary and Quaternary elections to the national and regional level in Mexico. Results suggest that to the regional level votes are aggregated following a rational choice due to strong social relations. This also holds to the national level where three parties operate a ternary election that results from the overlapping of binary elections along the country. Quaternary elections can be interpreted as the consequence of the crisis of the political system that comes out from the end of the Welfare State in Mexico.