Bayesian Theory Based Risk Analysis of Coastal Structure Design along Qingdao Coasts

摘要

This paper proposes a Bayesian-theory-based risk analysis method ofrncoastal structure design criteria along Qingdao coasts of Yellow Sea.rnNew method has some advantages over traditional method. This isrnbecause Bayesian theory continually involves new data and informationrnin the process of prior probability and posterior probability exchangesrnand then improves the model of statistical prediction. The proposedrnmethod gives quantitative risk analysis of coastal structural stability.