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The Production Leveling-off Versus Exploding Demand for Maize in Indonesia

机译:印尼玉米产量趋于平稳与需求爆炸

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In Indonesia, maize is the second most important crops after rice and a major component of animal feed, accounting for about 51% of feed ingredient. Domestic maize demand for food and feed industries grew faster than its production. This article is aimed to review the past and current status as well as the future prospect of maize in Indonesia, based on the last 41 years time series data. Our study showed that most of the maize (about 64%) is used for food, including direct food and manufactured food, and about 22% is used for feed industry. In recent years the total demand of maize for feed and food industries has increased substantially. On the other hands, maize production grew slower than its demand, and tended to leveling-off. Since, the Slow growing production could not meet the domestic exploding demand, it is projected that Indonesia will have an increasing deficit of maize. To reduce maize deficit, there is a need of some strategic steps, such as (ⅰ) intensive promotion of the use of hybrid seed, (ⅱ) development of fair partnerships among seed growers, seed companies, maize farmers, feed millers and food factories, (ⅲ) providing farmers with subsidized and simple credit and (ⅳ) strengthen farmers group to improve their bargaining power. Otherwise, maize production will continue to leveling-off while its demand is exploding and Indonesia will be more dependent on maize import.
机译:在印度尼西亚,玉米是仅次于水稻的第二重要农作物,也是动物饲料的主要成分,约占饲料成分的51%。国内对粮食和饲料工业的玉米需求增长快于其产量。本文旨在根据过去41年的时间序列数据,回顾印尼玉米的过去,现在和未来的前景。我们的研究表明,大多数玉米(约64%)用于食品,包括直接食品和人造食品,约22%用于饲料工业。近年来,玉米对饲料和食品工业的总需求已大大增加。另一方面,玉米产量增速低于需求,并且趋于平稳。由于产量的缓慢增长不能满足国内爆炸性的需求,因此预计印度尼西亚的玉米短缺将增加。为了减少玉米赤字,需要采取一些战略步骤,例如(ⅰ)大力促进使用杂交种子,(ⅱ)在种子种植者,种子公司,玉米种植者,饲料厂和食品工厂之间建立公平的伙伴关系,(ⅲ)为农民提供补贴和简单的信贷,(ⅳ)加强农民群体以提高他们的议价能力。否则,在需求激增的同时,玉米产量将继续趋于平稳,印度尼西亚将更加依赖玉米进口。

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