A dynamic model for planning patient care in hospitals

摘要

This paper presents a simulation model for investigating the requirements of patient care in planning new hospitals on the basis of statistical data of health needs in a community and different administrative policies for providing services. The envisioned future service demands for planning patient care in a hospital are generated by synthetic random observations according to certain probabilistic distributions. The model permits the investigation of the effects of service demands on the utilization of patient care facilities over a period of time and on possible solutions for meeting such demands through experimenting with various administrative policy decisions in planning and management.