Over half the life cycle costs of a weapon system goes toward supporting it after delivery. Since the costs of acquiring new weapon systems increases every year, support costs and ways of reducing them are receiving greater attention. Currently, the Department of Defense is spending $24 billion a year to operate and maintain previously procured weapon systems. Consequently, the Air Force is now asking aerospace firms to contract for support elements; for instance, failure rates, maintenance man-hours expended per flying hour (MMH/FH), spares costs, depot overhaul frequencies, system availability, sortie rates and 10-year operations and maintenance costs. Thus, when we design a new aircraft system, we are now obligated also to predict support elements and costs before the first aircraft is constructed.
rnOne way of helping us predict these support elements and costs is through a simulation model. Experience shows that effective simulation programs are not developed quickly. Therefore, we in The Boeing Company approached model design and development as a research project with the idea to develop and maintain an operational and logistics simulation capability that could be adapted to varied aircraft systems with a minimum of programming revision.
rnThis paper describes the resulting model which is programmed in GPSS/360 (General Purpose Simulation System) and is called GOALS (General Operations and Logistics Simulation). I would like to emphasize that the GOALS model is out of the development stage. It is an operational model, and has been verified against actual Air Force operations.
武器系统生命周期成本的一半以上用于交付后对其进行支持。由于购置新武器系统的成本逐年增加,因此支持成本和减少武器系统的方法越来越受到关注。目前,美国国防部每年花费240亿美元用于运营和维护以前采购的武器系统。因此,空军现在正在要求航空航天公司与支持部门签约;例如,故障率,每飞行小时花费的维护工时(MMH / FH),备件成本,仓库大修频率,系统可用性,出勤率以及10年的运营和维护成本。因此,当我们设计新的飞机系统时,我们现在还必须在制造第一架飞机之前就预测支持要素和成本。 P> rn
帮助我们预测这些支持要素和成本的一种方法是通过模拟模型。经验表明,有效的仿真程序无法快速开发。因此,我们在波音公司中进行模型设计和开发是一项研究项目,其想法是开发和维持可在最少的编程修订下适用于各种飞机系统的运营和物流仿真能力。 P> rn <本文描述了在GPSS / 360(通用仿真系统)中编程的结果模型,称为GOALS(通用运营和后勤仿真)。我想强调一下,GOALS模型已经超出了开发阶段。这是一种作战模型,已经针对空军的实际作战情况进行了验证。 P>
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