Reliability Model for the Supply Chain Based on the Process of General Markov

摘要

Supply chain system is a complex dynamic system. Because of amount of impactive factors, supply chain system is strongly random. In this paper, we firstly build the reliability model for supply chain system. On the systemic view, the operation of the supply chain system can be regarded as a general Markov process by the analysis of the transform states of the supply chain system. The mathematical model associated with the supply chain system can be described by supplementary variable technique and probability theory. At last, the simulation is presented and it shows that the system is asymptotic stable.