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Research on Cost Risk Management of Power Grid Project Based on the Monte-Carlo Simulation

机译:基于蒙特卡洛模拟的电网项目成本风险管理研究

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摘要

This paper integrates project cost risk management theory and mathematical statistics, computer technology, uses historical data and the method of expert investigation to analyze the risk of project cost, makes sure probability distribution. Then it applies risk management software to simulate manytimes, analyzes the risk level of the specific engineering project cost, tests the reality of model when playing combined with the actual effects, puts forward measures and methods to avoid the risk of cost, provides reference for power grid project cost management, improves the cost management level.
机译:本文将项目成本风险管理理论与数理统计,计算机技术相结合,利用历史数据和专家调查的方法对项目成本风险进行分析,确定了概率分布。然后运用风险管理软件进行多次仿真,分析具体工程项目成本的风险水平,结合实际效果对模型进行实际测试,提出规避风险的措施和方法,为电力提供参考。网格项目成本管理,提高了成本管理水平。

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