THE AREAS OF MUD VOLCANISM IN THE SOUTH CASPIAN AND BLACK SEA: SEISMICITY AND NEW TECHNOLOGY FOR SEISMIC RISK ESTIMATION

摘要

Technology for a seismicity study includes the following sections: a study of the newest geodynamics for the central part of the Alpine belt of Eurasia for a long time interval; differentiation of the lithosphere into elastic-brittle and plastic-viscous layers; determination of the peculiar features of seismic wave energy distribution for the instrumental period (1900 - 2000); differentiation of regional lineaments and faults by seismic activity; analysis of direction of earthquake foci migration in the plastic-viscous layer of the lithosphere; determination of space position of seismic hazard zones; calculation of predicted coordinates of high seismic potential sites and expected earthquake magnitudes in these sites.