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Analysis on the Impact of Human Psychological on Economic Irrational Exuberance

机译:人类心理对经济非理性令人生畏的影响分析

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"Irrational Exuberance" is a concept put forward by Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan on the US stock market bubble in 1996. There are many "Irrational Exuberance" in the world economy's history, which is the embodiment of the bubble economy. However, the existing economic theories cannot entirely explain why "Irrational Exuberance" occurs and why "Irrational Exuberance" leads to an economic crisis. Therefore, it is essential to find a new interpretation method. In the past economic theories, the impact of human psychological activities on the economy was often underestimated. This is why this research contains many of the latest knowledge and discoveries about the impact of human psychology on the economy. So far, the main reason for human mental activity is believed to be related to individual self-cognition and feedback. Besides, feedback to information, lack of experience, environmental impact, etc. affect the changes in human psychological activities. Since it is found that individual psychological changes impact group psychological changes, the hypothesis of psychological activity communication is proposed, including "bounded rationality," systematic cognitive bias, the influence of mass media, confidence multiplier hypothesis, and group unconsciousness.
机译:“不合理的富裕”是美国艾伦·格林斯潘在1996年美国股票市场泡沫提出的一个概念。世界经济历史上有许多“不合理的繁荣”,这是泡沫经济的实施例。然而,现有的经济理论不能完全解释为什么“非理性富裕”发生以及为什么“非理性富裕”导致经济危机。因此,必须找到一种新的解释方法。在过去的经济理论中,人类心理活动对经济的影响往往被低估了。这就是为什么这项研究包含许多关于人类心理学对经济影响的最新知识和发现。到目前为止,人类心理活动的主要原因被认为与个人自我认知和反馈有关。此外,对信息的反馈,缺乏经验,环境影响等影响人类心理活动的变化。由于发现个人心理变化影响组心理变化,提出了心理活动通信的假设,包括“有界合理性”,系统认知偏见,质量媒体的影响,置信度倍增的假设和群体无意识。

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