Research on Technology Foresight Method Based on Intelligent Convergence in Open Network Environment

摘要

With the development of technology, the technology foresight becomes more and more important. Delphi method as the core method of technology foresight is increasingly questioned. This paper propose a new technology foresight method based on intelligent convergence in open network environment. We put a large number of scientific and technological innovation topics into the open network technology community. Through the supervision and guidance to stimulate the discussion of expert groups, a lot of interactive information can be generated. Based on the accurate topic delivery, effective topic monitoring, reasonable topic guiding, comprehensive topic recovering, and interactive data mining, we get the technology foresight result and further look for the expert or team engaged in relevant research.