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To Import Coal or Invest in Renewables? A Real Options Approach to Energy Investments in the Philippines

机译:进口煤炭或投资可再生能源?菲律宾能源投资的真实选择方法

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In the recent years, the Philippines is making a significant stride to become energy independent by developing more sustainable sources of energy. Considering the current share of imported coal for electricity generation at 75% of total supply, the country's security of energy supply has been vulnerable to sudden changes in prices of coal. Renewable energy is seen as a promising alternative to suffice the country's energy needs. In 2015, renewable energy accounts 25% of the country's total energy generation mix, mostly from geothermal and hydropower (DOE 2016). The country is aiming to increase this capacity to 60% of the generation mix by 2030 by developing localized renewable energy resources (DOE 2012). However, investment in renewable energy is challenged by very high start-up cost, immature technology, and competitive prices of fossil fuels. It is therefore important to make a study that analyzes the attractiveness of renewable energy investments to address the country's concern on energy sufficiency and sustainability.
机译:近年来,菲律宾通过开发更可持续的能源来源,成为能源独立的力度。考虑到进口煤炭电力发电的当前份额为75%的供应量,该国的能源供应安全易受煤炭价格突然变化的影响。可再生能源被视为足够的替代能力,以满足全国的能源需求。 2015年,可再生能源占该国总能源混合的25%,主要来自地热和水电(DOE 2016)。该国旨在通过开发本地化可再生能源资源(DOE 2012),将此能力提高2030年的一代组合。然而,可再生能源的投资受到非常高的启动成本,未成熟的技术和化石燃料的竞争价格挑战。因此,重要的是要研究可再生能源投资的吸引力,以解决国家对能源充足和可持续性问题的关注。

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