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The analysis of Nigeria electricity market restructuring using game theory

机译:利用博弈论尼日利亚电力市场重组分析

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Investments in electricity markets contain high uncertainties about the future. It can also be seen as a game, as only a number of large players act in the market. A dynamic stochastic oligopolistic model to describe the production and investment in such a situation is developed and applied to the Nigerian electricity market. The demand growth rate is modeled as a stochastic variable with a time horizon of ten years. The strategies of firms consist of investment and production levels for base and peak load periods. The firms employ hydro, gas and steam capacities. Using the Sample-Path Adopted Open Loop Information Structure, the model contributes to the understanding of the dynamics of production, investment, and market power in medium time horizon.
机译:电力市场的投资包含对未来的高不确定性。它也可以被视为游戏,只有许多大型球员在市场上采取行动。一种动态随机寡头垄断模型,用于描述这种情况下的生产和投资,并应用于尼日利亚电力市场。需求增长率被建模为随机变量,随着时间的地平线为十年。公司的策略包括基地和峰值负荷期的投资和生产水平。该公司采用水电,气体和蒸汽容量。使用采样路径采用开环信息结构,该模型有助于了解中等时间地平线的生产,投资和市场力量的动态。

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