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Practical Analysis and Response for Risks Using Monte Carlo Simulation on Construction Manufacturing

机译:蒙特卡罗模拟施工制造的风险实际分析与响应

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This paper discussed a real project supporting the management of project risk.The model distinguishes between risks which have to be enhanced and risks which can be mitigated or accepted at some cost so that the customer requirements with respect to project completion time can be satisfied at a minimal cost.The model is based on risk management analysis proses and using a Monte Carlo simulation and in order to discover the probability to closure project within the expected date plan.The model is illustrated by means of a real-world case concerning a part of real state residential project construction located in the Republic of Iraq.
机译:本文讨论了支持项目风险管理的真实项目。模型区分了必须提高的风险和可以以某种成本减轻或接受的风险,以便在项目完成时间方面的客户要求可以满足 最小的成本。该模型基于风险管理分析,并使用蒙特卡罗模拟,并在预期的日期计划中发现封闭项目的概率。模型通过关于一部分的真实案例说明 真正的国家住宅项目建设位于伊拉克共和国。

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