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A Stochastic Belief Change Framework with a Stream of Expiring Observations

机译:随机信仰变更框架,具有到期观测流

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I propose a belief maintenance framework which draws from partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) [1] and my hybrid stochastic belief change (HSBC) construction [2] to accommodate a stream of observations. Agent actions and environment events are distinguishable and form part of the agent model. It is left up to the agent designer to provide an environment model; a submodel of the agent model. Observations in the stream which are no longer relevant, become default assumptions until overridden by newer, more prevalent observations. A distinction is made between background and foreground beliefs. Voorbraak's [3] partial probability theory (PPT) is used as guidance for the 'dual-belief-base' approach. In PPT, the agent may be somewhat ignorant, or might not have all (probabilistic) knowledge desired. Consider the following scenario. Your neighbour tells you he needs to visit the dentist urgently. You know that he uses the dentist at the Wonder-mall. A month later, you see your neighbour at the Wonder-mall. Is he there to see the dentist? The answer to the question makes use of the persistence of truth of certain pieces of information. After a period has elapsed, the veracity of some kinds of information dissipates. One would expect a person who says they must visit the dentist urgently to visit the dentist within approximately seven days. So your neighbour is probably not at Wonder-mall to see the dentist. Hence 'Neighbour must visit dentist' should be true for no longer than seven days, after which, the statement becomes defeasibly true.
机译:我提出了一种信念维护框架,其从部分可观察到的马尔可夫决策过程(POMDPS)[1]以及我的混合随机信念变化(HSBC)构造[2],以适应观察流。代理操作和环境事件是可区分的,并形成代理模型的一部分。它留给代理设计师提供环境模型;代理模型的子模型。在不再相关的流中的观察结果成为默认假设,直到较新的,更普遍的观察。背景和前景信仰之间的区别。 Voorbraak的[3]部分概率理论(PPT)被用作“双信仰基地”方法的指导。在PPT中,药剂可能有些无知,或者可能没有所需的所有(概率)知识。考虑以下情景。你的邻居告诉你,他需要紧急访问牙医。你知道他在Wonder-Mall使用牙医。一个月后,你在奇迹商场看到你的邻居。他在那里看到牙医吗?问题的答案利用某些信息的真理持久性。经过一段时间后,某些类型的信息的真实性消失了。人们希望一个人说他们必须迫切地访问牙医,在大约七天内访问牙医。所以你的邻居可能不是在奇迹中看到牙医。因此,“邻居必须访问牙医”应该是真的不超过七天,之后,声明变得荒谬。

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