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Using artificial neural network for providing hourly load update and next day load profile

机译:使用人工神经网络提供每小时加载更新和下一天的负载轮廓

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An artificial neural network technique is used to provide real time hourly load update, next day load profile, and daily peak load forecast. Weather and time factors are included in the proposed method by using them as the network's inputs. Results from the neural network are compared with those from autoregressive moving average model with exogenous input (ARMAX). Experiments are conducted on two Utilities historical data, each contains a time period longer than one year. Forecasting accuracy is evaluated throughout a whole year in order to determine the effect of seasonal load variation on the accuracy of the proposed forecasting models.
机译:人工神经网络技术用于提供实时每小时加载更新,下一天负载曲线和每日峰值负荷预测。 通过使用它们作为网络的输入,在提出的方法中包含天气和时间因素。 与外源输入(ARMAX)与自回归移动平均模型的影响进行了比较神经网络的结果。 实验是在两个公用事业历史数据上进行的,每个实验都包含一个超过一年的时间段。 在整个一年内评估预测精度,以确定季节性负荷变化对所提出的预测模型的准确性的影响。

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