Research on the Development Trend of Aquaculture Based on Big Data Analysis

摘要

Aquaculture economy plays an important role in guaranteeing the food supply and quality protein output of our residents. By cleaning, aggregating and analyzing the big data of China, Japan and the United States from 2010 to 2017, published by the fisheries and aquaculture department of FAO, we study the development trend of aquaculture production and value in the three countries and make a prediction in 5 years by linear regression fitting. Finally, suggestions were put forward for the aquaculture development. This paper found that China’s aquaculture production and value have been developing steadily, and would continue to stay progression in five years, but the growth rate would decline. The variety of aquaculture species is diversified, the production and value of aquaculture farming species are relatively balanced. China should strengthen aquaculture resources and environmental conservation and vigorously develop high technology in aquaculture. As for Japan, development prospects are not bright in the near future. Due to the combined effects of tsunami and aging fishery communities, the aquaculture is generally showing a declining trend. Japan should take measures to restore and strengthen fishery resources and revitalize fishing communities. In the United States, aquaculture production declined gradually after 2004 due mainly to the shrinking scale of channel catfish farming. Since then, it has remained quite stable. Besides, the aquaculture species are relatively poor, the production and value of the farming species are extremely uneven. At present, the United States should expand aquaculture species, substantially increase aquaculture production and maintain a growing trend.