HOW DOES IT WORK?CLIMATE RISK AND ADAPTATION

摘要

1.1Based on well-established physical principles 1.2Run by research groups around the world 1.3Peer-reviewed credible estimates of future climate at continental scales 1.4Adapted for local impact assessments by downscaling 2.1Projection of future temperature, rainfall etc. for each grid cell 2.2More than 40 models, each with different response to GHG forcing 2.3Multi-model mean often taken to be best estimate of the future 3.1Increase in frequency and intensity of heavy precipitation 3.2Increases in hurricane rainfall rates and intensity 3.3Little change/reduction in total number of hurricanes 3.4Increase in number of Category 4 and 5 hurricanes 3.5Increased frequency of conditions that can produce severe thunderstorms, hail and tornadoes 3.6Increase in landfalling atmospheric river events on west coast 3.7Rising max and min temperatures, more heat waves 3.8Increased frequency and intensity of droughts and wildfires.