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Flood Consequences Under Extreme Storms over Hong Kong Island

机译:港岛极端风暴下的洪水后果

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Hood damage has been extremely severe in recent decades and is responsible for a greater number of damaging events than any other type of natural hazard. Hoods are anticipated to happen more frequently in the future because of climate change, unplanned rapid urbanization, change in land use pattern, poor watershed management and declining recharge of groundwater by extension of impermeable surfaces in urban areas. Therefore, assessment of flood consequence under large storms is an important issue. This paper quantifies the elements at risk in Hong Kong under large storm scenarios with rain intensities of 29 and 85% of the 24-h Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP). The buildings affected were obtained by overlaying flood maps and building maps in a GIS environment. The numbers of buildings of all types and exposed individuals affected by the flood under the two storm scenarios were also quantified. The results indicate that residential buildings appear to be the most vulnerable among all structures and facilities in Hong Kong and thereby may lead to the highest affected population under the two rainfall scenarios. The western part of Hong Kong Island is more susceptible to flooding as a result of its steeper slope terrain and densely populated infrastructures. Enhanced flood risk assessment methods and improved understanding about flood risk will support decision makers in decreasing damage and fatalities.
机译:近几十年来,罩损伤一直非常严重,并且对比任何其他类型的自然灾害有更多的损害事件,负责。由于气候变化,无计划的快速城市化,土地利用模式的变化,土地利用变化,较差的流域管理和地下水充电,通过延长城市地区的不透水,将更加频繁地发生。因此,在大风暴下对洪水后果的评估是一个重要问题。本文在大型风暴情景下量化香港风险的元素,雨强度为29和85%的24-H可能的最大降水(PMP)。受影响的洪水贴图和建筑地图中的建筑物受到了GIS环境的建筑物。还量化了受到两种风暴情景下洪水影响的所有类型和暴露的人数的数量。结果表明,住宅建筑似乎是香港所有结构和设施中最脆弱的群体,从而可能导致两种降雨场景中受影响的最高人口。由于其陡峭的斜坡地形和密集的基础设施,香港岛的西部更容易洪水。增强的洪水风险评估方法和改善对洪水风险的理解将支持决策者降低损害和死亡。

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