Dynamics of Social Consciousness in the Methodology of Simulating Social Systems as a Way of Predicting Social Development Trends

摘要

Presented by a technique for solving one of the problems that are instrumental for predicting development of social systems, specifically social consciousness dynamics, taking into account actual properties of the society and the interaction of all possible components of the model, which are contemporary social state structures along with non-state and external ones. The authors present a model that trajectories of social development will only evolve steadily if positive feedback is present. This generalised social model correctly describes all the transient processes accompanying transitions between states in a system, since characteristic transient state durations are sufficiently shorter than the time periods under consideration. It is determined that the foundation of contemporary social systems is an intelligent core: a package of algorithms and programs that ensure real-time optimisation of social system activity. Justified why it is necessary to use mathematical simulation to predict behaviour of social systems, which specifically involves creating a mathematical description of social system activity, notated as vectors at each moment of time representing how a social system responds to external factors.