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Load Forecasting of Central Urban Area Power Grid Based on Saturated Load Density Index

机译:基于饱和载荷密度指数的中央城区电网负荷预测

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In the current society, coordination between urban power grid development and city development has become more and more prominent. Electricity saturated load forecasting plays an important role in the planning and development of power grids. Electricity saturated load forecasting is a new concept put forward by China in recent years in the field of grid planning. Urban saturation load forecast is different from the traditional load forecasting method for specific years, the time span of it often relatively large, and involves a wide range of aspects. This study takes a county in eastern Jiangxi as an example, this paper chooses a variety of load forecasting methods to carry on the recent load forecasting calculation to central urban area. At the same time, this paper uses load density index method to predict the Long - term load forecasting of electric saturation load of central urban area lasted until 2030. And further study shows the general distribution of the urban saturation load in space.
机译:在现行社会中,城市电网开发与城市发展之间的协调变得越来越突出。电饱和负荷预测在电网的规划和开发中起着重要作用。电力饱和负荷预测是中国近年来在网格规划领域提出的新概念。城市饱和负荷预测与特定年份的传统负荷预测方法不同,它的时间跨度通常比较大,涉及各种方面。本研究采用了东江西东部的县,是一个榜样,选择各种负荷预测方法,以便对中心城区近期负荷预测计算进行。同时,本文采用负荷密度指数法预测中城区电力饱和量的长期负荷预测持续到2030年。进一步的研究表明了空间城市饱和载荷的一般分布。

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