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MULTI-RISK APPROACH TO THE EVALUATION OF NATECH EVENTS

机译:Natech事件评估的多风险方法

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AMRA, Research Centre in the field of the Analysis and Monitoring of Environmental Risk, is a permanent structure for the development of innovative methodologies applied to environmental issues. In the last years, AMRA has devoted significant efforts to develop a quantitative framework for multi-risk assessment to support the identification of effective strategies, economically viable, for the mitigation of impacts due to a wide range of risk sources and their possible interactions, considering scenarios of cascading effects. AMRA has participated and led several initiatives to promote theoretical developments of multi-risk approach and to apply this approach to cases of industrial accidents triggered by natural events (Natech). In particular, various research activities have been carried out by AMRA under projects funded by the European Commission (FP6-Na.Ra.S, FP7-CRISMA, FP7- STREST). Among the recent experiences of AMRA there is also the collaboration with the Italian Ministry of Economic Development DGS-UNMIG through the ARGO project (Analysis of natural and anthropoGenic Risks of Offshore platforms). The general objective of the project is twofold: 1. to develop methodologies to analyse natural and human-induced risks of offshore platforms; 2. to provide technical support for the development of recommendations arising from the foregoing analysis. In particular, ARGO aims at developing and applying a multi-risk approach to the analysis of Natech events on offshore installations for hydrocarbon extraction. This paper discusses the principles of the AMRA multi-risk methodology and its applications to industrial sites. After a brief overview of the major natural phenomena that can trigger Natech events, this work focuses on the conceptual framework underpinning the multi-risk analysis applied by AMRA to the probabilistic assessment of Natech events.
机译:AMRA,在环境风险分析和监测领域的研究中心,是开发适用于环境问题的创新方法的永久性结构。在过去的几年里,AMRA致力于为多风险评估制定量化框架,以支持识别有效策略,经济上可行,由于各种风险来源及其可能的互动,考虑到级联效果的情景。 AMRA参加并领导了几项举措,促进了多风险方法的理论发展,并将这种方法应用于自然事件(Natech)引发的工业事故案件。特别是,AMRA根据由欧洲委员会资助的项目进行了各种研究活动(FP6-NA.R.S,FP7-CRISMA,FP7-最重学)。在最近的AMRA经验中,还与意大利经济发展部通过ARGO项目(海上平台的自然和人为风险分析)合作。该项目的一般目标是双重:1。制定方法,分析自然和人类诱导的海上平台风险; 2.为开发前述分析产生的建议提供技术支持。特别是,ARGO旨在开发和应用多风险方法来分析碳氢化合物提取的海上设施上的Natech事件。本文讨论了AMRA多风险方法及其对工业场所的应用的原则。简要概述了可以触发Natech事件的主要自然现象,这项工作侧重于支撑AMRA申请的多风险分析,以至于Natech事件的概率评估。

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