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Prediction model of energy consumption in Jiangsu Province based on constraint condition of carbon emission

机译:基于碳排放约束条件的江苏省能耗预测模型

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In order to achieve the targets for energy conservation and economic development goals in Jiangsu Province under the constraint of carbon emission, this paper uses the gray GM (1,1) model to predict and optimize the consumption structure of major energy sources (coal, oil, natural gas, etc.) in Jiangsu province in the "13th Five-Year" period and the next seven years. The predictions meet the requirement of reducing carbon dioxide emissions per unit GDP of China by 50%. The results show that the proposed approach and model is effective. Finally, we put forward opinions and suggestions on the way of energy-saving and emission-reduction, the adjustment of energy structure and the policy of coal consumption in Jiangsu Province.
机译:为了实现江苏省的节能和经济发展目标的目标,在碳排放的限制下,采用灰色通用灰河(1,1)模型来预测和优化主要能源的消费结构(煤炭,油,天然气等)在江苏省的“十三五”期间和未来七年。预测符合降低中国国内生产总值的二氧化碳排放量50%的要求。结果表明,所提出的方法和模型是有效的。最后,我们提出了对节能减排方式的意见和建议,能源结构调整以及江苏省煤炭消费政策。

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