Modeling energy consumption and carbon emission in China's household sector

摘要

With the development of China's economy, we have witnessed the rapid growth of electrical appliance ownership in household sector. Given the great number of population, the energy consumption in household sector is huge in China and consequently causes serious environmental concerns. This paper presents a bottom-up model that focuses on estimation of energy consumption and carbon emission for use of urban and rural household electrical appliance in China between 2010 and 2030. The model employs linear regression analysis to parameterize appliance ownership in terms of household income, urbanization and electrification rates. The findings can be helpful to policy makers as well as household appliance users.