The Role of Renewable Energy in China's Sustainable Energy Transition

摘要

To realize China's Intended Nationally Determined Contribution on Climate Change for post-2020 period, we should implement a plan for renewable energy development. How to choose a development order for different kinds of renewable energy, such as hydro power, solar power, and wind power? This paper simulates the electricity system with EnergyPLAN model. When we make an assumption that the demand of electricity in the year 2030 is 11800TWh per year, the required minimum capacity of total coal-fired electricity range from 1127GW to 1214GW. To lower the coal-fired capacity, more research should be done. Propose policy recommendations for renewable energy development. It shows that if more and more wind power is installed in RES-40 system, the analyzed results with the selected criteria will be better. It is a dynamic process to a more sustainable energy system. EEP will be an important problem when the share of RES reaches 50% or more in total electricity production.