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Identification of required cost reductions for CSP to retain its competitive advantage as most economically viable solar-dispatchable technology

机译:确定CSP所需的成本降低,以保留其竞争优势,成为最经济上可行的太阳能调度技术

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The present study evaluates and compares the optimum configurations for both PV-batteries and molten salt tower concentrating solar power plants that minimize the levelized cost of electricity for a suitable location for deployment of both solar technologies nearby Ouarzazate, Morocco, when considering two capacity factor objectives, namely 50% and 85%, and cost-projections for 2020 and 2030. Required target cost reduction rates for each of the main blocks in the tower plant (i.e. the solar field, the storage and the power block) are identified for guaranteeing its competitive advantage as the most economically viable solar-only technology at both capacity factor objectives investigated. It is shown that the larger the capacity factor requirement is, the more competitive the solar thermal technology would be. Specifically, the case-study shows that for an 85% capacity factor objective, tower plants would be more competitive even when considering the most pessimistic and optimistic cost projections for the solar thermal and PV-batteries sub-components, respectively. Nevertheless, it was also determined that in order to ensure being the most competitive solar-only technology at a 50% capacity factor objective by 2030, the costs of the solar field of the solar tower plants should reach values as low as 20-50 €/m~2, depending on the scenario, which means approximately a three to seven fold decrease of the costs as of 2017. At last, recommendations to solar thermal technology owners and developers are provided, and a short discussion regarding the viability and limitations of using battery electric storage systems for utility-scale solar plants is presented.
机译:本研究评估并比较PV电池和熔盐塔的最佳配置集中太阳能发电厂,可最大限度地降低电力调整性的电力成本,以便在考虑两个容量因素目标时,在欧瓦扎萨特附近的太阳能技术部署太阳能技术,即2020和2030的50%和85%和成本投影。识别塔架(即太阳能场,存储和电源块)中每个主块的所需目标成本降低速率,以保证其竞争优势作为调查的所有能力因素目标的最经济上可行的太阳能技术。结果表明,容量因子要求越大,太阳能热技术的竞争越多。具体而言,案例研究表明,对于85%的容量因子目标,即使在考虑太阳能热和PV电池子组件的最悲观和乐观的成本投影时,塔架也会更具竞争力。然而,还确定,为了确保在2030年的50%容量因素目标下成为最竞争的太阳能技术,太阳能塔厂的太阳能场的成本应达到20-50欧元的价值/ m〜2,取决于场景,这意味着截至2017年的成本大约三到七倍。最后,提供了对太阳能热技术所有者和开发人员的建议,以及关于生存能力和限制的简短讨论介绍了使用电池蓄电系统,提供用于公用规模的太阳能厂房。

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