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Bankruptcy Forecasting for Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises Using Cash Flow Data

机译:利用现金流数据的中小企业破产预测

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Credit rating has long been a topic of interest in academic research. There are lots of studies about credit rating methods for large and listed companies. However, due to the lack of financial data and information asymmetry, developing credit ratings for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) is difficult. To alleviate this problem, this paper adopts a novel approach, using SMEs' cash flow data to make bankruptcy predictions and improve the accuracy of bankruptcy prediction for SMEs through feature extraction of cash flow data. We validate the prediction performance after adding features extracted from cash flow data on six supervised learning algorithms. The results show that using cash flow data can improve the performance of bankruptcy prediction for SMEs.
机译:信用评级长期以来一直是学术研究兴趣的主题。 关于大型和上市公司的信用评级方法有很多研究。 但是,由于缺乏财务数据和信息不对称,难以发展中小企业的信用评级(中小企业)是困难的。 为了缓解这个问题,本文采用一种新颖的方法,使用中小企业的现金流量数据来制造破产预测,通过现金流数据的特征提取来提高中小企业破产预测的准确性。 在添加六个监督学习算法中,添加了从现金流数据中提取的功能后验证预测性能。 结果表明,使用现金流数据可以提高中小企业破产预测的性能。

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