An Empirical Study on the Effectiveness of Technical Analysis in China's Stock Markets

摘要

The weak form of the EMH proclaims that it is not possible to sustain above normal returns over the long run. However, in recent years, scholars have found that technical analysis trading strategy can obtain significant excess returns in different markets. In this paper, we use the CSI 300 Index, Moving average trading strategy, KDJ strategy and MACD strategy to study the weak effective of China's stock market. Through empirical research, it is concluded that the some technical analysis can obtain significant excess returns in the short term, and the Chinese stock market has not yet reached the weak efficient market.